Leidos Holdings Stock Performance

LDOS Stock  USD 178.99  3.89  2.22%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.13, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Leidos Holdings returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Leidos Holdings is expected to follow. At this point, Leidos Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.0706%. Please make sure to verify Leidos Holdings' value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Leidos Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Leidos Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Leidos Holdings is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.43)
Five Day Return
1.7
Year To Date Return
(4.56)
Ten Year Return
294.55
All Time Return
250.62
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0095
Payout Ratio
0.1384
Last Split Factor
405:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
1.66
Dividend Date
2026-03-31
 
Leidos Holdings dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
1
Insider Trading
01/16/2026
2
Disposition of 3000 shares by Elizabeth Porter of Leidos Holdings at 192.2117 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/20/2026
3
Acquisition by Roy Stevens of tradable shares of Leidos Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
4
Acquisition by Roy Stevens of 34 shares of Leidos Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
02/12/2026
5
AI and Innovation Supercharging Grid Efficiency and Reliability
02/17/2026
6
Leidos Holdings, Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
02/18/2026
7
Disposition of 3345 shares by Robert Shapard of Leidos Holdings at 75.02 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/19/2026
8
Can BigBear.ai Monetize Growth in Travel Border Security AI
02/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow991 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-421 M

Leidos Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  18,665  in Leidos Holdings on December 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,158) from holding Leidos Holdings or give up 6.2% of portfolio value over 90 days. Leidos Holdings is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.5434% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Leidos, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Leidos Holdings is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.36 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Leidos Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Leidos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 178.99 90 days 178.99 
about 81.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Leidos Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 81.99 (This Leidos Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Leidos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.13 . This indicates Leidos Holdings market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Leidos Holdings is expected to follow. Additionally Leidos Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Leidos Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Leidos Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leidos Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
171.34173.90176.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
157.56195.60198.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
177.12179.68182.25
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
194.74214.00237.54
Details

Leidos Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Leidos Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Leidos Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Leidos Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Leidos Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.13
σ
Overall volatility
7.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Leidos Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Leidos Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Leidos Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Leidos Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Leidos Holdings currently holds 5.93 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.35, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Leidos Holdings has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Leidos Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 81.0% of Leidos Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Insider Trading

Leidos Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Leidos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Leidos Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leidos Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding132.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Leidos Holdings Fundamentals Growth

Leidos Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Leidos Holdings, and Leidos Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Leidos Stock performance.

About Leidos Holdings Performance

Assessing Leidos Holdings' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Leidos Holdings' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Leidos Holdings is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 8.83  8.53 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.22  0.14 
Return On Capital Employed 0.20  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.11  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.30  0.18 

Things to note about Leidos Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Leidos Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Leidos Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Leidos Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Leidos Holdings currently holds 5.93 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.35, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Leidos Holdings has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Leidos Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 81.0% of Leidos Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Insider Trading
Evaluating Leidos Holdings' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Leidos Holdings' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Leidos Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Leidos Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Leidos Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Leidos Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Leidos Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Leidos Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Leidos Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Leidos Holdings' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Leidos Holdings' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Leidos Stock Analysis

When running Leidos Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Leidos Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Leidos Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Leidos Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Leidos Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Leidos Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Leidos Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.