The Lovesac Stock Performance

LOVE Stock  USD 13.03  0.01  0.08%   
Lovesac has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.03, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Lovesac will likely underperform. Lovesac right now secures a risk of 3.72%. Please verify The Lovesac value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to decide if The Lovesac will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in The Lovesac are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather abnormal basic indicators, Lovesac may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.08)
Five Day Return
(0.15)
Year To Date Return
(9.76)
Ten Year Return
(45.69)
All Time Return
(45.69)
1
Acquisition by Martello Wan Ling of 3055 shares of Lovesac subject to Rule 16b-3
11/25/2025
2
Disposition of 4808 shares by Leite Sharon M of Lovesac subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
3
Lovesac Releases FY 2026 Earnings Guidance
12/11/2025
4
Disposition of 6050 shares by Shawn Nelson of Lovesac subject to Rule 16b-3
12/23/2025
5
Couchmas is Here Lovesac Officially Takes Over the Week Between Christmas and New Year
12/26/2025
6
2 Calm Responses To Avoid Defensiveness In Fights, By A Psychologist
01/16/2026
7
Historic love letters from royals, rogues and romantics go on show at Britains National Archives
01/22/2026
8
2 Tips For When Emotional Availability Becomes Surveillance, By A Psychologist
01/27/2026
9
SHIPLEY DONUTS BRINGS BACK HEART-SHAPED DONUTS FOR THE SEASON OF LOVE
01/29/2026
10
Disposition of 279 shares by Heyer Andrew R of Lovesac subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
11
Roaches, rats and cat poop How NYC singles are getting savage revenge on their exes for Valentines Day
02/10/2026
12
WHATS YOUR DOGS LOVE LANGUAGE
02/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow87 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-21.5 M

Lovesac Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,216  in The Lovesac on November 14, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  87.00  from holding The Lovesac or generate 7.15% return on investment over 90 days. The Lovesac is currently generating 0.1806% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.7154% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 33% of stocks are less volatile than Lovesac, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lovesac is expected to generate 4.72 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.72 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of risk.

Lovesac Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Lovesac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.03 90 days 13.03 
about 80.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lovesac to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.07 (This The Lovesac probability density function shows the probability of Lovesac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.03 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lovesac will likely underperform. Additionally The Lovesac has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lovesac Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lovesac

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lovesac. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lovesac's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.1212.8716.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.7515.5019.25
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
22.4524.6727.38
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.87-0.81-0.77
Details

Lovesac Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lovesac is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lovesac's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Lovesac, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lovesac within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Lovesac Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lovesac for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lovesac can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lovesac had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Lovesac is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Lovesac has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: WHATS YOUR DOGS LOVE LANGUAGE

Lovesac Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lovesac Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lovesac's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lovesac's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments83.7 M

Lovesac Fundamentals Growth

Lovesac Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Lovesac, and Lovesac fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Lovesac Stock performance.

About Lovesac Performance

By analyzing Lovesac's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Lovesac's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Lovesac has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Lovesac has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 144.43  100.14 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.05  0.05 

Things to note about Lovesac performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lovesac for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Lovesac help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lovesac had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Lovesac is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Lovesac has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: WHATS YOUR DOGS LOVE LANGUAGE
Evaluating Lovesac's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Lovesac's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Lovesac's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Lovesac's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Lovesac's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Lovesac's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Lovesac's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Lovesac's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Lovesac's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Lovesac's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Lovesac's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Lovesac's price analysis, check to measure Lovesac's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lovesac is operating at the current time. Most of Lovesac's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lovesac's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lovesac's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lovesac to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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