LightPath Technologies (Germany) Performance

LPZB Stock  EUR 11.10  2.10  23.33%   
LightPath Technologies holds a performance score of 15 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0063, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning LightPath Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, LightPath Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Use LightPath Technologies standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to analyze future returns on LightPath Technologies.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in LightPath Technologies are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady basic indicators, LightPath Technologies reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
1
LightPath Technologies Stock Price Passes Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat
12/10/2025
2
LightPath targets 57M boost from latest stock offering - Optics.org
12/17/2025
3
Calamos Advisors LLC Invests 1.32 Million in LightPath Technologies, Inc. LPTH - MarketBeat
01/02/2026
4
LightPath Technologies Surges 13.5 percent Is This an Indication of Further Gains - Nasdaq
01/15/2026
5
All-weather security boost LightPath wins 9.6M infrared camera order - stocktitan.net
02/09/2026
6
LightPath Technologies Shares Gap Up After Analyst Upgrade - MarketBeat
02/12/2026
7
LightPath Technologies Still Growing, But Valuation And Technical Concerns Loom - Seeking Alpha
02/17/2026
  

LightPath Technologies Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  510.00  in LightPath Technologies on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  600.00  from holding LightPath Technologies or generate 117.65% return on investment over 90 days. LightPath Technologies is generating 1.613% of daily returns assuming 8.0446% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 72% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than LightPath Technologies, and 68% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LightPath Technologies is expected to generate 10.79 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 10.79 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

LightPath Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of LightPath Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.10 90 days 11.10 
nearly 4.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LightPath Technologies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.8 (This LightPath Technologies probability density function shows the probability of LightPath Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LightPath Technologies has a beta of -0.0063. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding LightPath Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, LightPath Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally LightPath Technologies has an alpha of 0.6932, implying that it can generate a 0.69 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   LightPath Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LightPath Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LightPath Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.2610.8518.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.598.1815.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.0812.6720.26
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.010.000.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LightPath Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LightPath Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LightPath Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LightPath Technologies.

LightPath Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LightPath Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LightPath Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LightPath Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LightPath Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.69
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0063
σ
Overall volatility
1.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

LightPath Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LightPath Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LightPath Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LightPath Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon
LightPath Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 37.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.86 M.
LightPath Technologies has accumulated about 4.64 M in cash with (8.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18.
Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: LightPath Technologies Still Growing, But Valuation And Technical Concerns Loom - Seeking Alpha

LightPath Technologies Fundamentals Growth

LightPath Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of LightPath Technologies, and LightPath Technologies fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on LightPath Stock performance.

About LightPath Technologies Performance

By analyzing LightPath Technologies' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into LightPath Technologies' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if LightPath Technologies has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if LightPath Technologies has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
LightPath Technologies, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes optical components and assemblies. LightPath Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida. LIGHTPATH TECHS operates under Electronic Components classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 331 people.

Things to note about LightPath Technologies performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about LightPath Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for LightPath Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LightPath Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon
LightPath Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 37.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.86 M.
LightPath Technologies has accumulated about 4.64 M in cash with (8.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18.
Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: LightPath Technologies Still Growing, But Valuation And Technical Concerns Loom - Seeking Alpha
Evaluating LightPath Technologies' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate LightPath Technologies' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing LightPath Technologies' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether LightPath Technologies' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining LightPath Technologies' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating LightPath Technologies' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of LightPath Technologies' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of LightPath Technologies' stock. These opinions can provide insight into LightPath Technologies' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating LightPath Technologies' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact LightPath Technologies' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for LightPath Stock analysis

When running LightPath Technologies' price analysis, check to measure LightPath Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LightPath Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of LightPath Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LightPath Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LightPath Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LightPath Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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