Total Return Bond Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

MBFIX Fund  USD 11.20  0.01  0.09%   
The entity has a beta of 0.0602, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Total Return's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Total Return is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Total Return Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Total Return is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of October 2022
Expense Ratio0.3800
  

Total Return Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,120  in Total Return Bond on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.00  from holding Total Return Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days. Total Return Bond is currently producing 2.0E-4% returns and takes up 0.1876% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Total, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Total Return is expected to generate 296.5 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 3.92 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Total Return Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
11.20
Please note that Total Return's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Total Return Bond has a current Real Value of $11.18 per share. The regular price of the fund is $11.2. We determine the value of Total Return Bond from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Total Return is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Total Mutual Fund. However, Total Return's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.2 Real  11.18 Hype  11.19 Naive  11.14
The intrinsic value of Total Return's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Total Return's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
11.18
Real Value
11.37
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Total Return Bond helps investors to forecast how Total mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Total Return more accurately as focusing exclusively on Total Return's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.1411.1911.23
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0011.1911.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.9511.1411.33
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Total Return Bond extending back to November 01, 2001. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Total Return stands at 11.20, as last reported on the 26th of January, with the highest price reaching 11.20 and the lowest price hitting 11.20 during the day.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Total Return Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Total Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.20 90 days 11.20 
about 17.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Total Return to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.2 (This Total Return Bond probability density function shows the probability of Total Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Total Return has a beta of 0.0602. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Total Return average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Total Return Bond will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Total Return Bond has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Total Return Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Total Return

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Total Return Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0011.1911.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9911.1811.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.9511.1411.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.1411.1911.23
Details

Total Return Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Total Return is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Total Return's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Total Return Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Total Return within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.42

Total Return Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Total Return for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Total Return Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated five year return of 0.0%
Total Return Bond maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Total Return Fundamentals Growth

Total Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Total Return, and Total Return fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Total Mutual Fund performance.

About Total Return Performance

Evaluating Total Return's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Total Return has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Total Return has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in bonds at least 80 percent of the funds total assets in investment-grade debt securities up to 25 percent of its total assets in asset-backed securities, other than mortgage-backed securities and up to 20 percent of the funds total assets in U.S. dollar-denominated debt securities of foreign issuers. It is a feeder fund that invests substantially all of its assets in the Core Bond Portfolio, a master portfolio with a substantially identical investment objective and substantially similar investment strategies.

Things to note about Total Return Bond performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Total Return for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Total Return Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated five year return of 0.0%
Total Return Bond maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.
Evaluating Total Return's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Total Return's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Total Return's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Total Return's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Total Return's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Total Return's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Total Return's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Total Return's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Total Return's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Total Return's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Total Return's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Total Mutual Fund

Total Return financial ratios help investors to determine whether Total Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Total with respect to the benefits of owning Total Return security.
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