Mutual Federal Bancorp Stock Performance

MFDB Stock  USD 2.46  0.11  4.28%   
Mutual Federal has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.19, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Mutual Federal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Mutual Federal is likely to outperform the market. Mutual Federal Bancorp right now secures a risk of 1.05%. Please verify Mutual Federal Bancorp kurtosis, and the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if Mutual Federal Bancorp will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Mutual Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong fundamental indicators, Mutual Federal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
  

Mutual Federal Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  235.00  in Mutual Federal Bancorp on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  11.00  from holding Mutual Federal Bancorp or generate 4.68% return on investment over 90 days. Mutual Federal Bancorp is currently generating 0.0792% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.051% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 9% of pink sheets are less volatile than Mutual, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Mutual Federal is expected to generate 1.27 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.38 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Mutual Federal Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Mutual Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.46 90 days 2.46 
about 16.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mutual Federal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.51 (This Mutual Federal Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Mutual Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Mutual Federal Bancorp has a beta of -0.19. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mutual Federal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mutual Federal Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mutual Federal Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Mutual Federal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mutual Federal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mutual Federal Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mutual Federal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.402.463.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.072.133.19
Details

Mutual Federal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mutual Federal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mutual Federal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mutual Federal Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mutual Federal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Mutual Federal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mutual Federal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mutual Federal Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (906 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.07 M.

Mutual Federal Fundamentals Growth

Mutual Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Mutual Federal, and Mutual Federal fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Mutual Pink Sheet performance.

About Mutual Federal Performance

By analyzing Mutual Federal's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Mutual Federal's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Mutual Federal has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Mutual Federal has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Mutual Federal Bancorp, Inc. operates as the holding company for Mutual Federal Bank that provides various financial products and services in the United States. Mutual Federal Bancorp, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Mutual Federal Bancorp, MHC. Mutual Federal operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 12 people.

Things to note about Mutual Federal Bancorp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mutual Federal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Mutual Federal Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (906 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.07 M.
Evaluating Mutual Federal's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Mutual Federal's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Mutual Federal's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Mutual Federal's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Mutual Federal's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Mutual Federal's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Mutual Federal's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Mutual Federal's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Mutual Federal's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Mutual Federal's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Mutual Federal's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Mutual Pink Sheet analysis

When running Mutual Federal's price analysis, check to measure Mutual Federal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mutual Federal is operating at the current time. Most of Mutual Federal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mutual Federal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mutual Federal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mutual Federal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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