Mineralys Therapeutics Common Stock Performance

MLYS Stock   27.60  0.26  0.93%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.59, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Mineralys Therapeutics will likely underperform. At this point, Mineralys Therapeutics has a negative expected return of -0.72%. Please make sure to verify Mineralys Therapeutics' information ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Mineralys Therapeutics performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Mineralys Therapeutics Common has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(6.45)
Five Day Return
(3.86)
Year To Date Return
(21.98)
Ten Year Return
51.08
All Time Return
51.08
1
Disposition of 1000000 shares by Slingsby Brian Taylor of Mineralys Therapeutics, at 43.35 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/20/2025
2
How Investors May Respond To Mineralys Therapeutics After 287.5 Million Upsized Capital Raise and New Institutional Backing
12/01/2025
3
Mineralys Therapeutics Stock Price Down 3.4 percent Whats Next
12/30/2025
4
Disposition of 3629 shares by Rodman David Malcom of Mineralys Therapeutics at 15.44 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
5
Disposition of 10121 shares by Rodman David Malcom of Mineralys Therapeutics at 15.44 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/05/2026
6
Mineralys Therapeutics Provides Corporate Update and Announces Participation in Upcoming LifeSci Partners Corporate Access Event in January 2026
01/06/2026
7
Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc. MLYS Shares Acquired by Hennion Walsh Asset Management Inc.
01/09/2026
8
Disposition of 6348 shares by Rodman David Malcom of Mineralys Therapeutics at 1.08 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/12/2026
9
Disposition of 11367 shares by Rodman David Malcom of Mineralys Therapeutics at 32.6071 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/14/2026
10
Disposition of 416 shares by Rodman David Malcom of Mineralys Therapeutics at 15.44 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/20/2026
11
Mineralys Therapeutics Files Lorundrostat NDA Following Positive Clinical Milestones
01/30/2026
12
Traders Purchase Large Volume of Mineralys Therapeutics Put Options
02/06/2026
13
Disposition of 2171 shares by Rodman David Malcom of Mineralys Therapeutics at 16.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/09/2026
14
Assessing Mineralys Therapeutics Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness And Strong 1 Year Return
02/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow49.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities115 M
Free Cash Flow-166.4 M

Mineralys Therapeutics Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,426  in Mineralys Therapeutics Common on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,640) from holding Mineralys Therapeutics Common or give up 37.05% of portfolio value over 90 days. Mineralys Therapeutics Common is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.0649% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than Mineralys, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Mineralys Therapeutics is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.98 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.24 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Mineralys Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Mineralys Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 27.60 90 days 27.60 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mineralys Therapeutics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Mineralys Therapeutics Common probability density function shows the probability of Mineralys Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.59 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Mineralys Therapeutics will likely underperform. Additionally Mineralys Therapeutics Common has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Mineralys Therapeutics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mineralys Therapeutics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mineralys Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mineralys Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.8727.9330.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.0732.9936.05
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
46.3050.8856.47
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.67-0.52-0.41
Details

Mineralys Therapeutics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mineralys Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mineralys Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mineralys Therapeutics Common, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mineralys Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.59
σ
Overall volatility
4.67
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Mineralys Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mineralys Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mineralys Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mineralys Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mineralys Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (177.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Mineralys Therapeutics generates negative cash flow from operations
Mineralys Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Assessing Mineralys Therapeutics Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness And Strong 1 Year Return

Mineralys Therapeutics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mineralys Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mineralys Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mineralys Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments198.2 M

Mineralys Therapeutics Fundamentals Growth

Mineralys Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Mineralys Therapeutics, and Mineralys Therapeutics fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Mineralys Stock performance.

About Mineralys Therapeutics Performance

Assessing Mineralys Therapeutics' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Mineralys Therapeutics' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Mineralys Therapeutics is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.78)(0.82)
Return On Capital Employed(1.16)(1.21)
Return On Assets(0.78)(0.82)
Return On Equity(1.07)(1.02)

Things to note about Mineralys Therapeutics performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mineralys Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Mineralys Therapeutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mineralys Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mineralys Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (177.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Mineralys Therapeutics generates negative cash flow from operations
Mineralys Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Assessing Mineralys Therapeutics Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness And Strong 1 Year Return
Evaluating Mineralys Therapeutics' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Mineralys Therapeutics' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Mineralys Therapeutics' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Mineralys Therapeutics' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Mineralys Therapeutics' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Mineralys Therapeutics' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Mineralys Therapeutics' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Mineralys Therapeutics' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Mineralys Therapeutics' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Mineralys Therapeutics' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Mineralys Therapeutics' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Mineralys Stock Analysis

When running Mineralys Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Mineralys Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mineralys Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Mineralys Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mineralys Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mineralys Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mineralys Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.