Natura Cosmeticos (Brazil) Performance

NATU3 Stock  BRL 9.19  0.03  0.33%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Natura Cosmeticos holds a performance score of 10. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0274, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Natura Cosmeticos are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Natura Cosmeticos is likely to outperform the market. Please check Natura Cosmeticos' treynor ratio, downside variance, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether Natura Cosmeticos' current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Natura Cosmeticos SA are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Natura Cosmeticos unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Quick Ratio0.89
Fifty Two Week Low25.70
Target High Price58.60
Payout Ratio31.32%
Fifty Two Week High62.65
Target Low Price29.00
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.61%
  

Natura Cosmeticos Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  775.00  in Natura Cosmeticos SA on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  144.00  from holding Natura Cosmeticos SA or generate 18.58% return on investment over 90 days. Natura Cosmeticos SA is generating 0.3113% of daily returns and assumes 2.3311% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Natura, and 94% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Natura Cosmeticos is expected to generate 3.09 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.09 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of risk.

Natura Cosmeticos Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Natura Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.19 90 days 9.19 
nearly 4.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Natura Cosmeticos to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.21 (This Natura Cosmeticos SA probability density function shows the probability of Natura Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Natura Cosmeticos SA has a beta of -0.0274. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Natura Cosmeticos are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Natura Cosmeticos SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Natura Cosmeticos SA has an alpha of 0.0114, implying that it can generate a 0.0114 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Natura Cosmeticos Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Natura Cosmeticos

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Natura Cosmeticos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.869.1911.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.057.389.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Natura Cosmeticos. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Natura Cosmeticos' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Natura Cosmeticos' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Natura Cosmeticos.

Natura Cosmeticos Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Natura Cosmeticos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Natura Cosmeticos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Natura Cosmeticos SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Natura Cosmeticos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Natura Cosmeticos Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Natura Cosmeticos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Natura Cosmeticos can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Natura Cosmeticos has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

Natura Cosmeticos Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Natura Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Natura Cosmeticos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Natura Cosmeticos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.35
Float Shares183.44M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.08M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.28M
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.61%

Natura Cosmeticos Fundamentals Growth

Natura Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Natura Cosmeticos, and Natura Cosmeticos fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Natura Stock performance.

About Natura Cosmeticos Performance

Assessing Natura Cosmeticos' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Natura Cosmeticos' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Natura Cosmeticos is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Natura Cosmticos S.A. develops, produces, distributes, and sells cosmetics, fragrances, and hygiene products. It markets its cosmetics under the Aesop and The Body Shop brands through a chain own stores, electronic commerce, direct selling, and franchises primarily in Asia, North America, South America, Europe, and Oceania. NATURA ON operates under Household Personal Products classification in Brazil and is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange. It employs 18000 people.

Things to note about Natura Cosmeticos performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Natura Cosmeticos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Natura Cosmeticos help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Natura Cosmeticos has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Evaluating Natura Cosmeticos' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Natura Cosmeticos' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Natura Cosmeticos' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Natura Cosmeticos' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Natura Cosmeticos' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Natura Cosmeticos' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Natura Cosmeticos' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Natura Cosmeticos' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Natura Cosmeticos' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Natura Cosmeticos' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Natura Cosmeticos' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Natura Stock Analysis

When running Natura Cosmeticos' price analysis, check to measure Natura Cosmeticos' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natura Cosmeticos is operating at the current time. Most of Natura Cosmeticos' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natura Cosmeticos' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natura Cosmeticos' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natura Cosmeticos to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.