Northern Star Resources Stock Performance

NESRF Stock  USD 20.53  0.71  3.58%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Northern Star holds a performance score of 13. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.42, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Northern Star's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Northern Star is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Northern Star's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Northern Star's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Northern Star Resources are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Northern Star reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow771.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-881.3 M
  

Northern Star Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,580  in Northern Star Resources on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  473.00  from holding Northern Star Resources or generate 29.94% return on investment over 90 days. Northern Star Resources is currently producing 0.4643% returns and takes up 2.6342% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 23% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Northern, and 91% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Northern Star is expected to generate 3.52 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.52 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Northern Star Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Northern Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.53 90 days 20.53 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Northern Star to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Northern Star Resources probability density function shows the probability of Northern Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Northern Star has a beta of 0.42. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Northern Star average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Northern Star Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Northern Star Resources has an alpha of 0.433, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Northern Star Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Northern Star

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northern Star Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.9020.5323.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.0922.7225.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.1521.7924.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.5717.9920.41
Details

Northern Star Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Northern Star is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Northern Star's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Northern Star Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Northern Star within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
1.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Northern Star Fundamentals Growth

Northern Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Northern Star, and Northern Star fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Northern Pink Sheet performance.

About Northern Star Performance

By analyzing Northern Star's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Northern Star's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Northern Star has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Northern Star has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Northern Star Resources Limited engages in the exploration, development, mining, and processing of gold deposits in Australia. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Subiaco, Australia. Northern Star operates under Gold classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about Northern Star Resources performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Northern Star for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Northern Star Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Northern Star's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Northern Star's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Northern Star's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Northern Star's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Northern Star's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Northern Star's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Northern Star's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Northern Star's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Northern Star's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Northern Star's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Northern Star's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Northern Pink Sheet analysis

When running Northern Star's price analysis, check to measure Northern Star's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northern Star is operating at the current time. Most of Northern Star's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northern Star's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northern Star's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northern Star to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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