Novagold Resources Stock Performance

NG Stock  USD 11.74  1.31  12.56%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, NovaGold Resources holds a performance score of 15. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.25, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, NovaGold Resources will likely underperform. Please check NovaGold Resources' skewness, and the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether NovaGold Resources' current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in NovaGold Resources are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, NovaGold Resources reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
5.3
Five Day Return
6.86
Year To Date Return
13.37
Ten Year Return
151.33
All Time Return
105.72
1
How NovaGold Resources Inc. stock valuations compare to rivals - July 2025 Snapshot Reliable Intraday Trade Alerts - newser.com
10/30/2025
2
Novagold Reports High-Grade Drill Results and Receives Positive Decision From Alaska Supreme Court
11/25/2025
3
Acquisition by Thomas Kaplan of 1185 shares of NovaGold Resources subject to Rule 16b-3
12/01/2025
4
Acquisition by Erfan Ali of 593 shares of NovaGold Resources subject to Rule 16b-3
12/04/2025
5
Acquisition by Adamek Peter of 833 shares of NovaGold Resources at 9.27 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
6
Market Pulse What macro factors could drive Novagold Resources Inc stock higher - Quarterly Earnings Report Growth Focused Investment Plans - moha.gov.vn
01/02/2026
7
NOVAGOLD Provides Update on Donlin Gold Infrastructure and Energy Supply With Initial Glenfarne Letter of Intent
01/09/2026
8
NOVAGOLD Announces Appointment of Project Director to Lead Advancement of the Donlin Gold Project
01/14/2026
9
NovaGold Resources FY 2025 Earnings Preview
01/21/2026
10
NOVAGOLD Increases Previously Announced Bought Deal Financing to US300 Million
01/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow42.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-177.7 M

NovaGold Resources Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  810.00  in NovaGold Resources on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  364.00  from holding NovaGold Resources or generate 44.94% return on investment over 90 days. NovaGold Resources is generating 0.6667% of daily returns and assumes 3.4099% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 30% of stocks are less risky than NovaGold on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 87% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon NovaGold Resources is expected to generate 4.55 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.55 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

NovaGold Resources Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of NovaGold Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.74 90 days 11.74 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NovaGold Resources to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This NovaGold Resources probability density function shows the probability of NovaGold Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.25 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, NovaGold Resources will likely underperform. Additionally NovaGold Resources has an alpha of 0.2087, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NovaGold Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NovaGold Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NovaGold Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.2910.3313.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.3411.3814.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.2510.2913.32
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.8613.0314.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NovaGold Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NovaGold Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NovaGold Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NovaGold Resources.

NovaGold Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NovaGold Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NovaGold Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NovaGold Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NovaGold Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.80
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

NovaGold Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NovaGold Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NovaGold Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NovaGold Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (39.53 M) with gross profit of 0.
NovaGold Resources reports about 110.14 M in cash with (38.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.4.
NovaGold Resources has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: NOVAGOLD Increases Previously Announced Bought Deal Financing to US300 Million

NovaGold Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NovaGold Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NovaGold Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NovaGold Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding374.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments115.1 M

NovaGold Resources Fundamentals Growth

NovaGold Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of NovaGold Resources, and NovaGold Resources fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on NovaGold Stock performance.

About NovaGold Resources Performance

By analyzing NovaGold Resources' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into NovaGold Resources' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if NovaGold Resources has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if NovaGold Resources has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 9.48  9.01 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.32)(0.34)
Return On Capital Employed(0.13)(0.14)
Return On Assets(0.32)(0.34)
Return On Equity(0.66)(0.63)

Things to note about NovaGold Resources performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about NovaGold Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for NovaGold Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NovaGold Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (39.53 M) with gross profit of 0.
NovaGold Resources reports about 110.14 M in cash with (38.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.4.
NovaGold Resources has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: NOVAGOLD Increases Previously Announced Bought Deal Financing to US300 Million
Evaluating NovaGold Resources' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate NovaGold Resources' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing NovaGold Resources' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether NovaGold Resources' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining NovaGold Resources' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating NovaGold Resources' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of NovaGold Resources' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of NovaGold Resources' stock. These opinions can provide insight into NovaGold Resources' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating NovaGold Resources' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact NovaGold Resources' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for NovaGold Stock analysis

When running NovaGold Resources' price analysis, check to measure NovaGold Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NovaGold Resources is operating at the current time. Most of NovaGold Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NovaGold Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NovaGold Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NovaGold Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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