Napco Security Technologies Stock Performance
| NSSC Stock | USD 42.59 0.41 0.95% |
NAPCO Security has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.4, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, NAPCO Security will likely underperform. NAPCO Security Techn now secures a risk of 2.76%. Please verify NAPCO Security Technologies semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to decide if NAPCO Security Technologies will be following its current price movements.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in NAPCO Security Technologies are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain basic indicators, NAPCO Security may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
| NAPCO Security dividend paid on 2nd of January 2026 | 01/02/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 65.3 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 14.6 M |
NAPCO Security Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 4,022 in NAPCO Security Technologies on November 14, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 238.00 from holding NAPCO Security Technologies or generate 5.92% return on investment over 90 days. NAPCO Security Technologies is currently generating 0.1312% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.7626% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 24% of stocks are less volatile than NAPCO, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
NAPCO Security Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of NAPCO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 42.59 | 90 days | 42.59 | about 18.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NAPCO Security to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 18.35 (This NAPCO Security Technologies probability density function shows the probability of NAPCO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
NAPCO Security Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NAPCO Security
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NAPCO Security Techn. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NAPCO Security's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NAPCO Security Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NAPCO Security is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NAPCO Security's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NAPCO Security Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NAPCO Security within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
NAPCO Security Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NAPCO Security for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NAPCO Security Techn can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 2nd of January 2026 NAPCO Security paid $ 0.14 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
NAPCO Security Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NAPCO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NAPCO Security's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NAPCO Security's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 99.2 M |
NAPCO Security Fundamentals Growth
NAPCO Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of NAPCO Security, and NAPCO Security fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on NAPCO Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.26 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.16 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.25 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.31 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.41 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 35.66 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 52.73 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 8.22 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 7.92 X | ||||
| Revenue | 181.62 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 48.53 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 46.8 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.27 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 5.33 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.06 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 5.18 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 53.53 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.32 X | ||||
| Total Asset | 198.14 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 199.08 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 44.51 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 22.11 M | ||||
About NAPCO Security Performance
By analyzing NAPCO Security's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into NAPCO Security's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if NAPCO Security has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if NAPCO Security has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells electronic security products in the United States and internationally. Napco Security Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Amityville, New York. Napco Sec operates under Security Protection Services classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1149 people.Things to note about NAPCO Security Techn performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about NAPCO Security for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for NAPCO Security Techn help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 2nd of January 2026 NAPCO Security paid $ 0.14 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
- Analyzing NAPCO Security's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether NAPCO Security's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining NAPCO Security's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating NAPCO Security's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of NAPCO Security's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of NAPCO Security's stock. These opinions can provide insight into NAPCO Security's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for NAPCO Stock analysis
When running NAPCO Security's price analysis, check to measure NAPCO Security's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NAPCO Security is operating at the current time. Most of NAPCO Security's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NAPCO Security's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NAPCO Security's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NAPCO Security to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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