Outbrain Performance

OBDelisted Stock  USD 2.74  0.11  3.86%   
The company holds a Beta of 1.01, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Outbrain returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Outbrain is expected to follow. Outbrain right now holds a risk of 0.0%. Please check Outbrain kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if Outbrain will be following its historical price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Outbrain has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong fundamental drivers, Outbrain is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
  

Outbrain Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  274.00  in Outbrain on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.00  from holding Outbrain or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days. Outbrain is generating negative expected returns and assumes 0.0% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 0% of stocks are less risky than Outbrain on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 99% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  

Outbrain Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Outbrain Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.74 90 days 2.74 
about 90.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Outbrain to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.12 (This Outbrain probability density function shows the probability of Outbrain Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.01 . This indicates Outbrain market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Outbrain is expected to follow. Additionally Outbrain has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Outbrain Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Outbrain

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Outbrain. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.742.742.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.572.573.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.243.243.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.353.184.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Outbrain. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Outbrain's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Outbrain's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Outbrain.

Outbrain Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Outbrain is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Outbrain's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Outbrain, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Outbrain within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.62
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Outbrain Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Outbrain for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Outbrain can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Outbrain is now traded under the symbol TEAD. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Outbrain is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Outbrain has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company generated the yearly revenue of 889.88 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (711 K) with gross profit of 233.16 M.
About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Outbrain Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Outbrain Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Outbrain's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Outbrain's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding52.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments166.1 M

Outbrain Fundamentals Growth

Outbrain Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Outbrain, and Outbrain fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Outbrain Stock performance.

About Outbrain Performance

By analyzing Outbrain's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Outbrain's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Outbrain has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Outbrain has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Outbrain Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates an online content recommendation platform worldwide. Outbrain Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Outbrain operates under Internet Content Information classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1016 people.

Things to note about Outbrain performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Outbrain for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Outbrain help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Outbrain is now traded under the symbol TEAD. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Outbrain is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Outbrain has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company generated the yearly revenue of 889.88 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (711 K) with gross profit of 233.16 M.
About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Outbrain's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Outbrain's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Outbrain's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Outbrain's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Outbrain's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Outbrain's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Outbrain's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Outbrain's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Outbrain's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Outbrain's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Outbrain's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Other Consideration for investing in Outbrain Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Outbrain check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Outbrain's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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