Oberweis Emerging Markets Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

OBEMX Fund  USD 9.59  0.00  0.00%   
The fund holds a Beta of -0.2, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Oberweis Emerging are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Oberweis Emerging is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Oberweis Emerging Markets has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's primary indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2023
Expense Ratio1.7500
  

Oberweis Emerging Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,191  in Oberweis Emerging Markets on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (232.00) from holding Oberweis Emerging Markets or give up 19.48% of portfolio value over 90 days. Oberweis Emerging Markets is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 3.0154% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 26% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Oberweis, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oberweis Emerging is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.88 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

Oberweis Emerging Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
9.59
Please note that Oberweis Emerging's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Oberweis Emerging Markets holds a recent Real Value of $9.13 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $9.59. We determine the value of Oberweis Emerging Markets from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Oberweis Emerging is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Oberweis Mutual Fund. However, Oberweis Emerging's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.59 Real  9.13 Hype  9.59 Naive  10.5
The intrinsic value of Oberweis Emerging's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Oberweis Emerging's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.13
Real Value
12.12
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Oberweis Emerging Markets helps investors to forecast how Oberweis mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Oberweis Emerging more accurately as focusing exclusively on Oberweis Emerging's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.599.609.61
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.609.5912.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.5110.5013.49
Details

Oberweis Emerging Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Oberweis Emerging's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Oberweis Emerging Markets, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Oberweis Emerging's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1063

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Negative ReturnsOBEMX

Estimated Market Risk

 3.02
  actual daily
26
74% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.32
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.11
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Oberweis Emerging is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Oberweis Emerging by adding Oberweis Emerging to a well-diversified portfolio.

Oberweis Emerging Fundamentals Growth

Oberweis Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Oberweis Emerging, and Oberweis Emerging fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Oberweis Mutual Fund performance.

About Oberweis Emerging Performance

Evaluating Oberweis Emerging's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Oberweis Emerging has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Oberweis Emerging has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of companies based in emerging markets. Emerging market countries consist of any country defined as Emerging Market, Frontier, or Developing by MSCI, the International Monetary Fund , or the World Bank. The fund invests principally in the common stocks of companies that its investment adviser believes have the potential for significant long-term growth in market value.

Things to note about Oberweis Emerging Markets performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oberweis Emerging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Oberweis Emerging Markets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oberweis Emerging is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Oberweis Emerging generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Oberweis Emerging has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The fund generated three year return of -4.0%
Oberweis Emerging Markets maintains 97.51% of its assets in stocks
Evaluating Oberweis Emerging's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Oberweis Emerging's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Oberweis Emerging's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Oberweis Emerging's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Oberweis Emerging's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Oberweis Emerging's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Oberweis Emerging's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Oberweis Emerging's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Oberweis Emerging's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Oberweis Emerging's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Oberweis Emerging's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Oberweis Mutual Fund

Oberweis Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oberweis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oberweis with respect to the benefits of owning Oberweis Emerging security.
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