Orica Limited Stock Performance

OCLDF Stock  USD 14.92  0.00  0.00%   
Orica has a performance score of 10 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of 0.13, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Orica's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Orica is expected to be smaller as well. Orica Limited right now holds a risk of 0.98%. Please check Orica Limited treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Orica Limited will be following its historical price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Orica Limited are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile fundamental indicators, Orica may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow593.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-229.2 M
  

Orica Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,387  in Orica Limited on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  105.00  from holding Orica Limited or generate 7.57% return on investment over 90 days. Orica Limited is currently producing 0.1262% returns and takes up 0.9773% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 8% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Orica, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Orica is expected to generate 1.21 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.21 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Orica Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Orica Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.92 90 days 14.92 
about 44.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orica to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 44.32 (This Orica Limited probability density function shows the probability of Orica Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Orica has a beta of 0.13. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Orica average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Orica Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Orica Limited has an alpha of 0.1058, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Orica Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Orica

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orica Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Orica's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.9414.9215.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.6513.6316.41
Details

Orica Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orica is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orica's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orica Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orica within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Orica Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orica for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orica Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Orica Fundamentals Growth

Orica Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Orica, and Orica fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Orica Pink Sheet performance.

About Orica Performance

By analyzing Orica's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Orica's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Orica has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Orica has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Orica Limited manufactures and sells commercial explosives and blasting systems in Australia, the United States, and internationally. The company was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in East Melbourne, Australia. Orica operates under Specialty Chemicals classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 13000 people.

Things to note about Orica Limited performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Orica for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Orica Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Orica's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Orica's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Orica's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Orica's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Orica's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Orica's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Orica's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Orica's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Orica's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Orica's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Orica's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Orica Pink Sheet analysis

When running Orica's price analysis, check to measure Orica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orica is operating at the current time. Most of Orica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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