Origin Energy Limited Stock Performance
| OGFGF Stock | USD 7.17 0.00 0.00% |
The company holds a Beta of 0.12, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Origin Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Origin Energy is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Origin Energy Limited has a negative expected return of -0.18%. Please make sure to check Origin Energy's jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Origin Energy Limited performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Origin Energy Limited has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 472 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 2.8 B |
Origin |
Origin Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 802.00 in Origin Energy Limited on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (85.00) from holding Origin Energy Limited or give up 10.6% of portfolio value over 90 days. Origin Energy Limited is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.2392% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 11% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Origin, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Origin Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Origin Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 7.17 | 90 days | 7.17 | over 95.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Origin Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.45 (This Origin Energy Limited probability density function shows the probability of Origin Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Origin Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Origin Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Origin Energy Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Origin Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Origin Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Origin Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Origin Energy Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Origin Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Origin Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Origin Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Origin Energy Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Origin Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 14.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.43 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.15 B. |
Origin Energy Fundamentals Growth
Origin Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Origin Energy, and Origin Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Origin Pink Sheet performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.15 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.0151 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.1) % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.04) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 10.4 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 1.72 B | |||
| Price To Earning | 44.57 X | |||
| Price To Book | 1.23 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.58 X | |||
| Revenue | 14.38 B | |||
| EBITDA | (252 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.23 B | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.72 X | |||
| Total Debt | 2.6 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.35 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 5.82 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 531 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.89) X | |||
| Total Asset | 24.02 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 6.5 B | |||
| Current Asset | 3.57 B | |||
| Current Liabilities | 2.89 B | |||
About Origin Energy Performance
By analyzing Origin Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Origin Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Origin Energy has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Origin Energy has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Origin Energy Limited, an integrated energy company, engages in the exploration and production of natural gas, electricity generation, wholesale and retail sale of electricity and gas, and sale of liquefied natural gas in Australia and internationally. Origin Energy Limited was incorporated in 1946 and is based in Barangaroo, Australia. Origin Energy operates under Oil Gas Integrated classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 5000 people.Things to note about Origin Energy Limited performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Origin Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Origin Energy Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Origin Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 14.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.43 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.15 B. |
- Analyzing Origin Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Origin Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Origin Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Origin Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Origin Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Origin Energy's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Origin Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Origin Pink Sheet analysis
When running Origin Energy's price analysis, check to measure Origin Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Origin Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Origin Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Origin Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Origin Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Origin Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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