Permex Petroleum Stock Performance
| OILCF Stock | USD 1.70 0.00 0.00% |
The company holds a Beta of -0.25, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Permex Petroleum are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Permex Petroleum is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Permex Petroleum has a negative expected return of -0.86%. Please make sure to check Permex Petroleum's information ratio, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and skewness , to decide if Permex Petroleum performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Permex Petroleum has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 7356.00 | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 1.1 M |
Permex |
Permex Petroleum Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 360.00 in Permex Petroleum on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (190.00) from holding Permex Petroleum or give up 52.78% of portfolio value over 90 days. Permex Petroleum is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 6.7749% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 60% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Permex, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Permex Petroleum Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Permex Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.70 | 90 days | 1.70 | about 77.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Permex Petroleum to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 77.25 (This Permex Petroleum probability density function shows the probability of Permex Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Permex Petroleum has a beta of -0.25. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Permex Petroleum are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Permex Petroleum is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Permex Petroleum has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Permex Petroleum Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Permex Petroleum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Permex Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Permex Petroleum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Permex Petroleum Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Permex Petroleum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Permex Petroleum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Permex Petroleum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Permex Petroleum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Permex Petroleum Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Permex Petroleum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Permex Petroleum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Permex Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Permex Petroleum has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Permex Petroleum may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Permex Petroleum has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 106.89 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 49.27 K. | |
| Permex Petroleum has accumulated about 5.37 M in cash with (951.57 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Permex Petroleum Fundamentals Growth
Permex Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Permex Petroleum, and Permex Petroleum fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Permex Pink Sheet performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.34 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.17 | |||
| Current Valuation | 929.07 K | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 1.93 M | |||
| Price To Book | 0.57 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 6.82 X | |||
| Revenue | 106.89 K | |||
| EBITDA | (1.43 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 5.37 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.05 X | |||
| Total Debt | 40 K | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.01 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 5.98 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (951.57 K) | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.03) X | |||
| Total Asset | 10.37 M | |||
About Permex Petroleum Performance
By analyzing Permex Petroleum's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Permex Petroleum's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Permex Petroleum has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Permex Petroleum has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Permex Petroleum Corporation, a junior oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, development, and production of oil and gas properties in the United States. Permex Petroleum Corporation was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. PERMEX PETROLEUM is traded on PNK Exchange in the United States.Things to note about Permex Petroleum performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Permex Petroleum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Permex Petroleum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Permex Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Permex Petroleum has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Permex Petroleum may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Permex Petroleum has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 106.89 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 49.27 K. | |
| Permex Petroleum has accumulated about 5.37 M in cash with (951.57 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
- Analyzing Permex Petroleum's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Permex Petroleum's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Permex Petroleum's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Permex Petroleum's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Permex Petroleum's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Permex Petroleum's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Permex Petroleum's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Permex Pink Sheet analysis
When running Permex Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Permex Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Permex Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Permex Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Permex Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Permex Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Permex Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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