Orinda Income Opportunities Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

OIOIX Fund  USD 15.78  0.04  0.25%   
The fund holds a Beta of 0.29, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Orinda Income's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Orinda Income is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Orinda Income Opportunities are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Orinda Income is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date31st of December 2021
Expense Ratio2.5200
  

Orinda Income Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,519  in Orinda Income Opportunities on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  59.00  from holding Orinda Income Opportunities or generate 3.88% return on investment over 90 days. Orinda Income Opportunities is currently producing 0.0645% returns and takes up 0.4515% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 4% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Orinda, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Orinda Income is expected to generate 0.6 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.65 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Orinda Income Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
15.78
Please note that Orinda Income's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Orinda Income Opport holds a recent Real Value of $15.74 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $15.78. We determine the value of Orinda Income Opport from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Orinda Income is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Orinda Mutual Fund. However, Orinda Income's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  15.78 Real  15.74 Hype  15.78 Naive  15.77
The intrinsic value of Orinda Income's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Orinda Income's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
15.74
Real Value
16.22
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Orinda Income Opportunities helps investors to forecast how Orinda mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Orinda Income more accurately as focusing exclusively on Orinda Income's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.2515.6316.00
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.3015.7816.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
15.3015.7716.25
Details

Orinda Income Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Orinda Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.78 90 days 15.78 
about 6.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orinda Income to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.06 (This Orinda Income Opportunities probability density function shows the probability of Orinda Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Orinda Income has a beta of 0.29. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Orinda Income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Orinda Income Opportunities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Orinda Income Opportunities has an alpha of 0.0128, implying that it can generate a 0.0128 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Orinda Income Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Orinda Income

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orinda Income Opport. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.3015.7816.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.2615.7416.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.3015.7716.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.2515.6316.00
Details

Orinda Income Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orinda Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orinda Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orinda Income Opportunities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orinda Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Orinda Income Fundamentals Growth

Orinda Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Orinda Income, and Orinda Income fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Orinda Mutual Fund performance.

About Orinda Income Performance

Evaluating Orinda Income's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Orinda Income has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Orinda Income has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund will invest in U.S. and non-U.S. securities and investment instruments including, but not limited to, equity securities, debt securities, and derivatives. Orinda Income is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Orinda Income Opport performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Orinda Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Orinda Income Opport help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Orinda Income's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Orinda Income's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Orinda Income's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Orinda Income's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Orinda Income's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Orinda Income's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Orinda Income's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Orinda Income's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Orinda Income's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Orinda Income's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Orinda Income's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Orinda Mutual Fund

Orinda Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Orinda Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Orinda with respect to the benefits of owning Orinda Income security.
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