Oppenheimer International Small Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

OSMCX Fund  USD 29.66  0.38  1.26%   
The fund holds a Beta of 1.85, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Oppenheimer International will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Oppenheimer International Small are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, Oppenheimer International showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Senators ask for quick release of low-income heating funds - The Hill
11/14/2025
Expense Ratio Date28th of February 2025
Expense Ratio2.1300
  

Oppenheimer International Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,192  in Oppenheimer International Small on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  774.00  from holding Oppenheimer International Small or generate 35.31% return on investment over 90 days. Oppenheimer International Small is currently producing 0.559% returns and takes up 3.8652% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 34% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Oppenheimer, and 89% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oppenheimer International is expected to generate 5.2 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.2 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Oppenheimer International Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
29.66
Please note that Oppenheimer International's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Oppenheimer International holds a recent Real Value of $28.71 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $29.66. We determine the value of Oppenheimer International from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Oppenheimer International is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Oppenheimer Mutual Fund. However, Oppenheimer International's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  29.66 Real  28.71 Hype  29.66 Naive  31.68
The intrinsic value of Oppenheimer International's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Oppenheimer International's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
28.71
Real Value
32.55
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Oppenheimer International Small helps investors to forecast how Oppenheimer mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Oppenheimer International more accurately as focusing exclusively on Oppenheimer International's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.8329.5630.29
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.8229.6633.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
27.8431.6835.52
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Oppenheimer International Small extending back to April 26, 2000. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Oppenheimer International stands at 29.66, as last reported on the 2nd of February, with the highest price reaching 29.66 and the lowest price hitting 29.66 during the day.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Oppenheimer International Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Oppenheimer Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 29.66 90 days 29.66 
about 14.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oppenheimer International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 14.89 (This Oppenheimer International Small probability density function shows the probability of Oppenheimer Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.85 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Oppenheimer International will likely underperform. Additionally Oppenheimer International Small has an alpha of 0.396, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Oppenheimer International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oppenheimer International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oppenheimer International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oppenheimer International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.8229.6633.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.8728.7132.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.8431.6835.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.8329.5630.29
Details

Oppenheimer International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oppenheimer International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oppenheimer International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oppenheimer International Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oppenheimer International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.40
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.85
σ
Overall volatility
3.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Oppenheimer International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oppenheimer International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oppenheimer International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oppenheimer International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Latest headline from news.google.com: Why a New 11 Million Bet on 2030 Corporate Bonds Fits Into This Rate-Aware Portfolio - The Motley Fool
The fund generated five year return of 0.0%
Oppenheimer International maintains 97.97% of its assets in stocks

Oppenheimer International Fundamentals Growth

Oppenheimer Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Oppenheimer International, and Oppenheimer International fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Oppenheimer Mutual Fund performance.

About Oppenheimer International Performance

Evaluating Oppenheimer International's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Oppenheimer International has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Oppenheimer International has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal market conditions, the fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus borrowings for investment purposes, in equity securities of small- and mid-cap companies, and in derivatives and other instruments that have economic characteristics similar to such securities. The funds manager considers small- and mid-cap companies to be those having a market capitalization in the range of the companies included in the MSCI ACWI ex USA SMID Cap Index during the most recent 11-month period plus the most recent data during the current month.

Things to note about Oppenheimer International performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oppenheimer International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Oppenheimer International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oppenheimer International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Latest headline from news.google.com: Why a New 11 Million Bet on 2030 Corporate Bonds Fits Into This Rate-Aware Portfolio - The Motley Fool
The fund generated five year return of 0.0%
Oppenheimer International maintains 97.97% of its assets in stocks
Evaluating Oppenheimer International's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Oppenheimer International's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Oppenheimer International's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Oppenheimer International's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Oppenheimer International's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Oppenheimer International's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Oppenheimer International's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Oppenheimer International's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Oppenheimer International's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Oppenheimer International's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Oppenheimer International's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Oppenheimer Mutual Fund

Oppenheimer International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oppenheimer Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oppenheimer with respect to the benefits of owning Oppenheimer International security.
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