Pdd Holdings Stock Performance

PDD Stock  USD 101.95  0.97  0.94%   
The company holds a Beta of 1.44, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, PDD Holdings will likely underperform. At this point, PDD Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to check PDD Holdings' total risk alpha, kurtosis, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if PDD Holdings performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days PDD Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.94)
Five Day Return
2.13
Year To Date Return
(11.92)
Ten Year Return
281.84
All Time Return
281.84
1
Is PDD Turning Tariff Resilience And Global Expansion Into A Durable Competitive Edge
01/09/2026
2
Is PDD Holdings Pricing Reflect Its DCF Upside After Recent Share Weakness
01/23/2026
3
China Internet Regulation Poses New Risks for PDD Holdings
01/30/2026
4
A Look At PDD Holdings Valuation After Mixed Signals On Growth, Expenses And Tax Fine Outcome
02/03/2026
5
How Temu Momentum and Easing Regulatory Pressure Will Impact PDD Holdings Investors
02/04/2026
6
Is It Time To Reassess PDD Holdings After Recent Share Price Weakness
02/06/2026
7
Heres What Citi Thinks About PDD Holdings Inc.
02/10/2026
8
PDD Holdings Inc Under Pressure, Heres What You Should Know
02/13/2026
9
PDD Target of Unusually High Options Trading
02/19/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow121.8 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-118.4 B

PDD Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  11,349  in PDD Holdings on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,154) from holding PDD Holdings or give up 10.17% of portfolio value over 90 days. PDD Holdings is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.845% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than PDD, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon PDD Holdings is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.46 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 per unit of volatility.

PDD Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of PDD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 101.95 90 days 101.95 
about 89.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PDD Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.82 (This PDD Holdings probability density function shows the probability of PDD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.44 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, PDD Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally PDD Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PDD Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PDD Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PDD Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PDD Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.71101.55103.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
91.58121.59123.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
106.05107.89109.74
Details
41 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
135.26148.64164.99
Details

PDD Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PDD Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PDD Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PDD Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PDD Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.48
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.44
σ
Overall volatility
7.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

PDD Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PDD Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PDD Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PDD Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PDD Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: PDD Target of Unusually High Options Trading

PDD Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PDD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PDD Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PDD Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments331.6 B

PDD Holdings Fundamentals Growth

PDD Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of PDD Holdings, and PDD Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on PDD Stock performance.

About PDD Holdings Performance

By analyzing PDD Holdings' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into PDD Holdings' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if PDD Holdings has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if PDD Holdings has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 4.36  4.14 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.20  0.21 
Return On Capital Employed 0.31  0.32 
Return On Assets 0.20  0.21 
Return On Equity 0.32  0.34 

Things to note about PDD Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about PDD Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for PDD Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PDD Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PDD Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: PDD Target of Unusually High Options Trading
Evaluating PDD Holdings' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate PDD Holdings' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing PDD Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether PDD Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining PDD Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating PDD Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of PDD Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of PDD Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into PDD Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating PDD Holdings' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact PDD Holdings' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for PDD Stock analysis

When running PDD Holdings' price analysis, check to measure PDD Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PDD Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of PDD Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PDD Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PDD Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PDD Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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