Adams Natural Resources Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

PEO Fund  USD 25.41  0.20  0.78%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.4, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Adams Natural's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Adams Natural is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Adams Natural Resources are ranked lower than 23 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak technical and fundamental indicators, Adams Natural displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Adams Natural Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,068  in Adams Natural Resources on November 20, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  473.00  from holding Adams Natural Resources or generate 22.87% return on investment over 90 days. Adams Natural Resources is generating 0.3566% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.1897% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 10% of funds are less volatile than Adams, and above 93% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Adams Natural is expected to generate 1.57 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.57 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.3 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.18 per unit of risk.

Adams Natural Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
25.41
Please note that Adams Natural's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. Adams Natural Resources shows a prevailing Real Value of $27.06 per share. The current price of the fund is $25.41. We determine the value of Adams Natural Resources from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor obtaining undervalued funds and abandoning overvalued funds since, at some point, fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Adams Natural is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Adams Fund. However, Adams Natural's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  25.41 Real  27.06 Hype  25.45
The intrinsic value of Adams Natural's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Adams Natural's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
27.06
Real Value
28.25
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Adams Natural Resources helps investors to forecast how Adams fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Adams Natural more accurately as focusing exclusively on Adams Natural's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.2625.4526.64
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Adams Natural Resources extending back to March 17, 1980. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Adams Natural stands at 25.41, as last reported on the 18th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 25.52 and the lowest price hitting 25.19 during the day.
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Adams Natural Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Adams Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.41 90 days 25.41 
roughly 2.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adams Natural to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.98 (This Adams Natural Resources probability density function shows the probability of Adams Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Adams Natural has a beta of 0.4 indicating as returns on the market go up, Adams Natural average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Adams Natural Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Adams Natural Resources has an alpha of 0.2624, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Adams Natural Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Adams Natural

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adams Natural Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Adams Natural's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.2625.4526.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.8727.0628.25
Details

Adams Natural Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adams Natural is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adams Natural's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adams Natural Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adams Natural within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
1.63
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

Adams Natural Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adams Natural for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adams Natural Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Adams Natural Fundamentals Growth

Adams Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Adams Natural, and Adams Natural fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Adams Fund performance.

About Adams Natural Performance

By examining Adams Natural's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Adams Natural's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Adams Natural is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Adams Natural Resources Fund, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm invests in the public equity markets across the globe. The firm manages closed-end equity fund focused on the energy and material sectors. It invests in stocks of companies of all market capitalizations operating in the energy and natural resources sector including oil companies, exploration and production, utilities, services, and basic materials sectors. The firm employs a fundamental analysis with a bottom-up stock picking approach while focusing on earnings growth prospects, defendable market position, market competition, macroeconomic backdrop, cash flow generation, valuation, capital allocation, return on capital, mileposts and catalysts, and point in cycle identification to make its investments. It benchmarks the performance of its portfolios against a composite index of 80 percent Dow Jones Oil and Gas Index and 20 percent Dow Jones Basic Materials Index. The firm was formerly known as Petroleum Resources Corporation. Adams Natural Resources Fund, Inc. was founded in 1929 and is based in Baltimore, Maryland with an additional office in Boston, Massachusetts.

Things to note about Adams Natural Resources performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Adams Natural for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Fund alerts and notifications screener for Adams Natural Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Adams Natural's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Adams Natural's fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Adams Natural's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Adams Natural's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Adams Natural's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Adams Natural's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Adams Natural's management team can help you assess the Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Adams Natural's fund. These opinions can provide insight into Adams Natural's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Adams Natural's fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Adams Natural's fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Adams Fund

Adams Natural financial ratios help investors to determine whether Adams Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Adams with respect to the benefits of owning Adams Natural security.
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