Foreign Bond Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

PFRCX Fund  USD 7.93  0.04  0.51%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0688, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Foreign Bond's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Foreign Bond is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Foreign Bond Fund are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Foreign Bond is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of October 2025
Expense Ratio1.8600
  

Foreign Bond Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  778.00  in Foreign Bond Fund on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  15.00  from holding Foreign Bond Fund or generate 1.93% return on investment over 90 days. Foreign Bond Fund is currently producing 0.0322% returns and takes up 0.2694% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Foreign, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Foreign Bond is expected to generate 1.66 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 2.78 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Foreign Bond Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
7.93
Please note that Foreign Bond's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Foreign Bond shows a prevailing Real Value of $7.9 per share. The current price of the fund is $7.93. We determine the value of Foreign Bond from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Foreign Bond is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Foreign Mutual Fund. However, Foreign Bond's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  7.93 Real  7.9 Hype  7.93 Naive  7.97
The intrinsic value of Foreign Bond's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Foreign Bond's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
7.90
Real Value
8.17
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Foreign Bond Fund helps investors to forecast how Foreign mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Foreign Bond more accurately as focusing exclusively on Foreign Bond's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.757.837.90
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.667.938.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.707.978.24
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Foreign Bond Fund extending back to August 06, 2004. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Foreign Bond stands at 7.93, as last reported on the 28th of January, with the highest price reaching 7.93 and the lowest price hitting 7.93 during the day.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Foreign Bond Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Foreign Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.93 90 days 7.93 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Foreign Bond to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Foreign Bond Fund probability density function shows the probability of Foreign Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Foreign Bond has a beta of 0.0688 indicating as returns on the market go up, Foreign Bond average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Foreign Bond Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Foreign Bond Fund has an alpha of 0.0068, implying that it can generate a 0.006771 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Foreign Bond Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Foreign Bond

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Foreign Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Foreign Bond's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.667.938.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.637.908.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.707.978.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.757.837.90
Details

Foreign Bond Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Foreign Bond is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Foreign Bond's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Foreign Bond Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Foreign Bond within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Foreign Bond Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Foreign Bond for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Foreign Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated five year return of -4.0%
Foreign Bond maintains about 5.21% of its assets in cash

Foreign Bond Fundamentals Growth

Foreign Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Foreign Bond, and Foreign Bond fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Foreign Mutual Fund performance.

About Foreign Bond Performance

Evaluating Foreign Bond's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Foreign Bond has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Foreign Bond has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing under normal circumstances at least 80 percent of its assets in Fixed Income Instruments. It will invest under normal circumstances in Fixed Income Instruments that are economically tied to at least three non-U.S. countries. The fund may invest, without limitation, in derivative instruments, such as options, futures contracts or swap agreements, or in mortgage- or asset-backed securities. The fund may also invest up to 10 percent of its total assets in preferred securities.

Things to note about Foreign Bond performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Foreign Bond for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Foreign Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated five year return of -4.0%
Foreign Bond maintains about 5.21% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Foreign Bond's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Foreign Bond's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Foreign Bond's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Foreign Bond's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Foreign Bond's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Foreign Bond's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Foreign Bond's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Foreign Bond's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Foreign Bond's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Foreign Bond's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Foreign Bond's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Foreign Mutual Fund

Foreign Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether Foreign Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Foreign with respect to the benefits of owning Foreign Bond security.
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