Pony Ai American Stock Performance

PONY Stock   13.58  0.08  0.59%   
The company holds a Beta of 2.08, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Pony AI will likely underperform. Pony AI American right now holds a risk of 4.2%. Please check Pony AI American value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to decide if Pony AI American will be following its historical price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Pony AI American has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Pony AI is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
4.57
Five Day Return
(7.60)
Year To Date Return
(15.99)
Ten Year Return
12.5
All Time Return
12.5
1
Wall Street Analysts Believe Pony AI Inc. - Sponsored ADR Could Rally 70.63 percent Heres is How to Trade
12/08/2025
2
Barclays Validates Pony AIs Commercial Tech but Cites Regulatory and Scaling Hurdles
12/29/2025
3
TMT General Partner Ltd Lowers Holdings in Pony AI Inc. Sponsored ADR PONY
01/21/2026
4
Wall Street Has a Strong Buy on Pony AI , Heres What You Need to Know
01/29/2026
5
Pony AI Collaborates With Beijing ATBB Travel Express Service to Scale Robotaxi Commercialization in China
01/30/2026
6
Kayou Launches Fan-Fueled Chase the Magic Sweepstakes and MY LITTLE PONY Friendship Eternal Cards Moon Edition 2 Trading Cards
02/02/2026
7
PONY AI Inc. Joins MSCI China Index as First Robotaxi Constituent
02/11/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow426 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-181.4 M

Pony AI Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,420  in Pony AI American on December 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (70.00) from holding Pony AI American or give up 4.93% of portfolio value over 90 days. Pony AI American is currently generating 0.0016% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.1979% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 37% of stocks are less volatile than Pony, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Pony AI is expected to generate 18.69 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.47 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.04 per unit of volatility.

Pony AI Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Pony Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.58 90 days 13.58 
about 84.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pony AI to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 84.94 (This Pony AI American probability density function shows the probability of Pony Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.08 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Pony AI will likely underperform. Additionally Pony AI American has an alpha of 0.0049, implying that it can generate a 0.004936 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pony AI Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pony AI

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pony AI American. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.3013.5017.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.7015.9020.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.9313.1317.33
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
22.3524.5627.27
Details

Pony AI Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pony AI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pony AI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pony AI American, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pony AI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.08
σ
Overall volatility
1.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Pony AI Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pony AI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pony AI American can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pony AI American had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Pony AI American has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 75.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (274.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.9 M.
Pony AI generates negative cash flow from operations
Pony AI American has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: PONY AI Inc. Joins MSCI China Index as First Robotaxi Constituent

Pony AI Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pony Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pony AI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pony AI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding114.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments745 M

Pony AI Fundamentals Growth

Pony Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Pony AI, and Pony AI fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Pony Stock performance.

About Pony AI Performance

Evaluating Pony AI's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Pony AI has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Pony AI has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.23)(0.25)
Return On Capital Employed(0.26)(0.28)
Return On Assets(0.23)(0.25)
Return On Equity(0.33)(0.31)

Things to note about Pony AI American performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pony AI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Pony AI American help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pony AI American had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Pony AI American has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 75.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (274.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.9 M.
Pony AI generates negative cash flow from operations
Pony AI American has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: PONY AI Inc. Joins MSCI China Index as First Robotaxi Constituent
Evaluating Pony AI's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Pony AI's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Pony AI's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Pony AI's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Pony AI's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Pony AI's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Pony AI's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Pony AI's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Pony AI's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Pony AI's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Pony AI's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Pony Stock Analysis

When running Pony AI's price analysis, check to measure Pony AI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pony AI is operating at the current time. Most of Pony AI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pony AI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pony AI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pony AI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.