Pimco Real Return Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

PRLPX Fund  USD 10.39  0.02  0.19%   
The fund holds a Beta of 0.0662, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Pimco Real's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Pimco Real is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Pimco Real Return has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Pimco Real is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Pimco Real Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,043  in Pimco Real Return on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (4.00) from holding Pimco Real Return or give up 0.38% of portfolio value over 90 days. Pimco Real Return is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.1989% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Pimco, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pimco Real is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 3.71 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Pimco Real Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
10.39
Please note that Pimco Real's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Pimco Real Return holds a recent Real Value of $10.39 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $10.39. We determine the value of Pimco Real Return from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Pimco Real is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Pimco Mutual Fund. However, Pimco Real's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  10.39 Real  10.39 Hype  10.39 Naive  10.34
The intrinsic value of Pimco Real's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Pimco Real's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
10.39
Real Value
10.59
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Pimco Real Return helps investors to forecast how Pimco mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Pimco Real more accurately as focusing exclusively on Pimco Real's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.3210.3810.43
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.1910.3910.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.1410.3410.54
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Pimco Real Return extending back to May 01, 2008. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Pimco Real stands at 10.39, as last reported on the 26th of January, with the highest price reaching 10.39 and the lowest price hitting 10.39 during the day.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Pimco Real Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Pimco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.39 90 days 10.39 
about 36.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pimco Real to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 36.64 (This Pimco Real Return probability density function shows the probability of Pimco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pimco Real has a beta of 0.0662 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pimco Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pimco Real Return will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pimco Real Return has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pimco Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pimco Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pimco Real Return. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.1910.3910.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1910.3910.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1410.3410.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.3210.3810.43
Details

Pimco Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pimco Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pimco Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pimco Real Return, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pimco Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.4

Pimco Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pimco Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pimco Real Return can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pimco Real Return generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Pimco Real Fundamentals Growth

Pimco Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Pimco Real, and Pimco Real fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Pimco Mutual Fund performance.

About Pimco Real Performance

Evaluating Pimco Real's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Pimco Real has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Pimco Real has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in inflation-indexed bonds of varying maturities issued by the U.S. and non-U.S. governments, their agencies or instrumentalities, and corporations, which may be represented by forwards or derivatives such as options, futures contracts or swap agreements.

Things to note about Pimco Real Return performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pimco Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Pimco Real Return help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pimco Real Return generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.
Evaluating Pimco Real's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Pimco Real's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Pimco Real's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Pimco Real's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Pimco Real's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Pimco Real's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Pimco Real's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Pimco Real's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Pimco Real's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Pimco Real's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Pimco Real's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Pimco Mutual Fund

Pimco Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pimco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pimco with respect to the benefits of owning Pimco Real security.
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