Privia Health Group Stock Performance

PRVA Stock  USD 21.50  0.10  0.46%   
The company holds a Beta of 1.3, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Privia Health will likely underperform. At this point, Privia Health Group has a negative expected return of -0.12%. Please make sure to check Privia Health's treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day median price , to decide if Privia Health Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Privia Health Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest unsteady performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.01)
Five Day Return
0.33
Year To Date Return
(7.93)
Ten Year Return
(6.09)
All Time Return
(6.09)
1
Acquisition by Parth Mehrotra of 56027 shares of Privia Health at 2.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/26/2025
2
Disposition of 1506 shares by Thomas Bartrum of Privia Health at 17.88 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/03/2025
3
Quantbot Technologies LP Raises Holdings in Privia Health Group, Inc. PRVA
12/04/2025
4
Disposition of 7967 shares by Mountcastle David of Privia Health at 2.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
5
Evolent Health Sells ACO Unit, Strengthens Balance Sheet
12/22/2025
6
RBC Capital Reinstates Coverage of PRVA with Outperform Rating - GuruFocus
01/09/2026
7
2 Healthcare Stocks to Keep an Eye On and 1 We Ignore
01/13/2026
8
Why Privia Health Shares Are Plunging Today
01/27/2026
9
Van Berkom Associates Inc. Grows Stock Holdings in Privia Health Group, Inc. PRVA
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow389.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-10.3 M

Privia Health Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,345  in Privia Health Group on November 14, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (195.00) from holding Privia Health Group or give up 8.32% of portfolio value over 90 days. Privia Health Group is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.8776% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than Privia, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Privia Health is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.38 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of volatility.

Privia Health Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Privia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.50 90 days 21.50 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Privia Health to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Privia Health Group probability density function shows the probability of Privia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.3 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Privia Health will likely underperform. Additionally Privia Health Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Privia Health Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Privia Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Privia Health Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Privia Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.6921.5823.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.4426.8328.72
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
28.4431.2534.69
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.190.260.30
Details

Privia Health Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Privia Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Privia Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Privia Health Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Privia Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.30
σ
Overall volatility
0.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Privia Health Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Privia Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Privia Health Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Privia Health Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Privia Health Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Privia Health Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Van Berkom Associates Inc. Grows Stock Holdings in Privia Health Group, Inc. PRVA

Privia Health Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Privia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Privia Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Privia Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding125.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments491.1 M

Privia Health Fundamentals Growth

Privia Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Privia Health, and Privia Health fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Privia Stock performance.

About Privia Health Performance

By analyzing Privia Health's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Privia Health's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Privia Health has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Privia Health has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.03  0.03 

Things to note about Privia Health Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Privia Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Privia Health Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Privia Health Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Privia Health Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Privia Health Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Van Berkom Associates Inc. Grows Stock Holdings in Privia Health Group, Inc. PRVA
Evaluating Privia Health's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Privia Health's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Privia Health's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Privia Health's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Privia Health's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Privia Health's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Privia Health's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Privia Health's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Privia Health's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Privia Health's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Privia Health's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Privia Health's price analysis, check to measure Privia Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Privia Health is operating at the current time. Most of Privia Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Privia Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Privia Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Privia Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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