California Tax Free Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

SCTAX Fund  USD 10.46  0.01  0.1%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0101, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning California Tax-free are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, California Tax-free is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in California Tax Free Fund are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, California Tax-free is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of November 2025
Expense Ratio0.7500
  

California Tax-free Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,041  in California Tax Free Fund on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  5.00  from holding California Tax Free Fund or generate 0.48% return on investment over 90 days. California Tax Free Fund is currently producing 0.008% returns and takes up 0.087% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 0% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than California, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon California Tax-free is expected to generate 9.39 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 8.72 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

California Tax-free Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
10.46
Please note that California Tax-free's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. California Tax Free shows a prevailing Real Value of $9.62 per share. The current price of the fund is $10.46. We determine the value of California Tax Free from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since California Tax-free is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of California Mutual Fund. However, California Tax-free's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  10.46 Real  9.62 Hype  10.46 Naive  10.44
The intrinsic value of California Tax-free's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence California Tax-free's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.62
Real Value
11.51
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of California Tax Free Fund helps investors to forecast how California mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of California Tax-free more accurately as focusing exclusively on California Tax-free's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.4110.4510.49
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3710.4610.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.3510.4410.52
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for California Tax Free Fund extending back to October 06, 1988. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of California Tax-free stands at 10.46, as last reported on the 3rd of February, with the highest price reaching 10.46 and the lowest price hitting 10.46 during the day.
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

California Tax-free Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of California Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.46 90 days 10.46 
nearly 4.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of California Tax-free to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.99 (This California Tax Free Fund probability density function shows the probability of California Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon California Tax Free Fund has a beta of -0.0101. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding California Tax-free are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, California Tax Free Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally California Tax Free Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   California Tax-free Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for California Tax-free

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as California Tax Free. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3710.4610.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.539.6211.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3510.4410.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.4110.4510.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as California Tax-free. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against California Tax-free's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, California Tax-free's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in California Tax Free.

California Tax-free Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. California Tax-free is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the California Tax-free's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold California Tax Free Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of California Tax-free within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0008
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.5

California Tax-free Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of California Tax-free for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for California Tax Free can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

California Tax-free Fundamentals Growth

California Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of California Tax-free, and California Tax-free fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on California Mutual Fund performance.
Total Asset221.25 M

About California Tax-free Performance

Evaluating California Tax-free's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if California Tax-free has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if California Tax-free has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in municipal securities whose interest is exempt from federal income tax, including federal alternative minimum tax , and California individual income tax. It invests up to 20 percent of the funds net assets in securities whose interest is subject to federal income tax. The fund invests up to 10 percent of its total assets in below investment-grade municipal securities, and invests up to 10 percent of the funds total assets in inverse floaters.

Things to note about California Tax Free performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about California Tax-free for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for California Tax Free help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.
Evaluating California Tax-free's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate California Tax-free's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing California Tax-free's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether California Tax-free's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining California Tax-free's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating California Tax-free's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of California Tax-free's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of California Tax-free's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into California Tax-free's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating California Tax-free's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact California Tax-free's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in California Mutual Fund

California Tax-free financial ratios help investors to determine whether California Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in California with respect to the benefits of owning California Tax-free security.
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