Deutsche Gold Precious Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

SGDIX Fund  USD 161.84  3.26  2.06%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.25, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Deutsche Gold's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Deutsche Gold is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Deutsche Gold Precious are ranked lower than 28 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Deutsche Gold showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Expense Ratio Date25th of June 2025
Expense Ratio1.1700
  

Deutsche Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  10,647  in Deutsche Gold Precious on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  5,537  from holding Deutsche Gold Precious or generate 52.01% return on investment over 90 days. Deutsche Gold Precious is currently producing 0.7206% returns and takes up 2.0367% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 18% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Deutsche, and 86% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Deutsche Gold is expected to generate 2.7 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.7 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.35 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Deutsche Gold Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
161.84
Please note that Deutsche Gold's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. Deutsche Gold Precious shows a prevailing Real Value of $167.41 per share. The current price of the fund is $161.84. We determine the value of Deutsche Gold Precious from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Deutsche Gold is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Deutsche Mutual Fund. However, Deutsche Gold's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  161.84 Real  167.41 Hype  161.84 Naive  171.07
The intrinsic value of Deutsche Gold's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Deutsche Gold's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
145.66
Downside
167.41
Real Value
169.44
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Deutsche Gold Precious helps investors to forecast how Deutsche mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Deutsche Gold more accurately as focusing exclusively on Deutsche Gold's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
119.56141.17162.77
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
159.81161.84163.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
169.04171.07173.09
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Deutsche Gold Precious extending back to January 02, 2009. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Deutsche Gold stands at 161.84, as last reported on the 29th of January, with the highest price reaching 161.84 and the lowest price hitting 161.84 during the day.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Deutsche Gold Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Deutsche Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 161.84 90 days 161.84 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deutsche Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Deutsche Gold Precious probability density function shows the probability of Deutsche Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Deutsche Gold has a beta of 0.25. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Deutsche Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Deutsche Gold Precious will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Deutsche Gold Precious has an alpha of 0.6039, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Deutsche Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Deutsche Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deutsche Gold Precious. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
159.81161.84163.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
145.66167.41169.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
169.04171.07173.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
119.56141.17162.77
Details

Deutsche Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deutsche Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deutsche Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deutsche Gold Precious, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deutsche Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.60
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
15.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.28

Deutsche Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deutsche Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deutsche Gold Precious can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Berkshire Hathaway Will Lose Its Biggest Mutual-Fund Fan With Danoffs Retirement - Barrons
The fund generated-2.0 ten year return of -2.0%
Deutsche Gold Precious maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

Deutsche Gold Fundamentals Growth

Deutsche Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Deutsche Gold, and Deutsche Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Deutsche Mutual Fund performance.

About Deutsche Gold Performance

Evaluating Deutsche Gold's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Deutsche Gold has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Deutsche Gold has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus borrowings for investment purposes, in securities of companies located throughout the world, in both developed and emerging markets, that are primarily engaged in mining or processing gold . It may also invest in gold bullion and other precious metals, i.e., silver and platinum . However, no more than 20 percent of the funds total assets may be invested directly in gold bullion and other precious metals. The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Deutsche Gold Precious performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Deutsche Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Deutsche Gold Precious help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Berkshire Hathaway Will Lose Its Biggest Mutual-Fund Fan With Danoffs Retirement - Barrons
The fund generated-2.0 ten year return of -2.0%
Deutsche Gold Precious maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments
Evaluating Deutsche Gold's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Deutsche Gold's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Deutsche Gold's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Deutsche Gold's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Deutsche Gold's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Deutsche Gold's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Deutsche Gold's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Deutsche Gold's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Deutsche Gold's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Deutsche Gold's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Deutsche Gold's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Deutsche Mutual Fund

Deutsche Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deutsche Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deutsche with respect to the benefits of owning Deutsche Gold security.
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