Smi Servative Allocation Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

SMILX Fund  USD 11.53  0.04  0.35%   
The entity has a beta of 0.64, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Smi Conservative's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Smi Conservative is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Smi Servative Allocation are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak essential indicators, Smi Conservative showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of March 2025
Expense Ratio1.7700
  

Smi Conservative Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  992.00  in Smi Servative Allocation on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  161.00  from holding Smi Servative Allocation or generate 16.23% return on investment over 90 days. Smi Servative Allocation is currently producing 0.2583% returns and takes up 1.2384% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 11% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Smi, and 95% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Smi Conservative is expected to generate 1.64 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.64 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Smi Conservative Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
11.53
Please note that Smi Conservative's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be undervalued. Smi Servative Allocation has a current Real Value of $12.27 per share. The regular price of the fund is $11.53. We determine the value of Smi Servative Allocation from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Smi Conservative is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Smi Mutual Fund. However, Smi Conservative's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.53 Real  12.27 Hype  11.53 Naive  11.33
The intrinsic value of Smi Conservative's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Smi Conservative's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
12.27
Real Value
13.50
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Smi Servative Allocation helps investors to forecast how Smi mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Smi Conservative more accurately as focusing exclusively on Smi Conservative's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0210.9711.92
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3011.5312.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.1011.3312.57
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Smi Servative Allocation extending back to December 30, 2010. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Smi Conservative stands at 11.53, as last reported on the 28th of January, with the highest price reaching 11.53 and the lowest price hitting 11.53 during the day.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Smi Conservative Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Smi Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.53 90 days 11.53 
roughly 2.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Smi Conservative to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.02 (This Smi Servative Allocation probability density function shows the probability of Smi Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Smi Conservative has a beta of 0.64. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Smi Conservative average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Smi Servative Allocation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Smi Servative Allocation has an alpha of 0.1911, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Smi Conservative Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Smi Conservative

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Smi Servative Allocation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3011.5312.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0412.2713.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1011.3312.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0210.9711.92
Details

Smi Conservative Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Smi Conservative is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Smi Conservative's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Smi Servative Allocation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Smi Conservative within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.64
σ
Overall volatility
0.61
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Smi Conservative Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Smi Conservative for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Smi Servative Allocation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 7.63% of its assets in cash

Smi Conservative Fundamentals Growth

Smi Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Smi Conservative, and Smi Conservative fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Smi Mutual Fund performance.

About Smi Conservative Performance

Evaluating Smi Conservative's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Smi Conservative has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Smi Conservative has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund primarily invests in open-end equity mutual funds, ETFs and publicly traded partnerships using its Stock Upgrading strategy. Generally, underlying funds with the highest momentum scores are chosen. The underlying funds that do not have the highest momentum scores may not outperform and could, in fact, lose money. These underlying funds may, in turn, invest in a broad range of equity securities, including foreign securities and securities of issuers located in emerging markets.

Things to note about Smi Servative Allocation performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Smi Conservative for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Smi Servative Allocation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 7.63% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Smi Conservative's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Smi Conservative's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Smi Conservative's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Smi Conservative's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Smi Conservative's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Smi Conservative's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Smi Conservative's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Smi Conservative's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Smi Conservative's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Smi Conservative's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Smi Conservative's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Smi Mutual Fund

Smi Conservative financial ratios help investors to determine whether Smi Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Smi with respect to the benefits of owning Smi Conservative security.
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