Similarweb Stock Performance

SMWB Stock  USD 3.98  0.00  0.00%   
The entity has a beta of 1.37, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, SimilarWeb will likely underperform. At this point, SimilarWeb has a negative expected return of -0.89%. Please make sure to validate SimilarWeb's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and price action indicator , to decide if SimilarWeb performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days SimilarWeb has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.05
Five Day Return
(13.85)
Year To Date Return
(44.02)
Ten Year Return
(81.80)
All Time Return
(81.80)
1
Citizens reiterates Market Outperform rating on Similarweb stock at 17 - Investing.com
12/15/2025
2
Similarweb Reaches New 12-Month Low Time to Sell
01/13/2026
3
Is Similarweb Quietly Becoming Core Infrastructure for AI-Driven Marketing Intelligence - simplywall.st
01/15/2026
4
Similarwebs Annual Digital 100 Report Finds Serious Utility Powers the Fastest Growing Websites and Apps
01/20/2026
5
Is Similarweb Quietly Recasting Its Moat Around AI Marketing Intelligence With Manus Integration
01/23/2026
6
Goldman Sachs Turn Cautious on Similarweb Ltd. Amid Slowing Core Growth Metrics
01/26/2026
7
Why Investors Shouldnt Be Surprised By Similarweb Ltd.s 27 percent Share Price Plunge
02/02/2026
8
Similarweb Price Target Cut to 7.00 by Analysts at Oppenheimer - MarketBeat
02/04/2026
9
Brokerages Set Similarweb Ltd. PT at 11.07
02/11/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow71.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-18.7 M

SimilarWeb Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  714.00  in SimilarWeb on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (316.00) from holding SimilarWeb or give up 44.26% of portfolio value over 90 days. SimilarWeb is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.565% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 32% of stocks are less volatile than SimilarWeb, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days SimilarWeb is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.72 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.25 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of volatility.

SimilarWeb Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of SimilarWeb Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.98 90 days 3.98 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SimilarWeb to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This SimilarWeb probability density function shows the probability of SimilarWeb Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.37 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, SimilarWeb will likely underperform. Additionally SimilarWeb has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SimilarWeb Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SimilarWeb

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SimilarWeb. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SimilarWeb's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.484.057.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.205.779.34
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.1811.1912.42
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.030.050.09
Details

SimilarWeb Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SimilarWeb is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SimilarWeb's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SimilarWeb, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SimilarWeb within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.37
σ
Overall volatility
1.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.32

SimilarWeb Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SimilarWeb for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SimilarWeb can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SimilarWeb generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SimilarWeb has high historical volatility and very poor performance
SimilarWeb currently holds 39.73 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.38, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. SimilarWeb has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about SimilarWeb's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 249.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 217.28 M.
SimilarWeb has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 73.0% of SimilarWeb shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Brokerages Set Similarweb Ltd. PT at 11.07

SimilarWeb Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SimilarWeb Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SimilarWeb's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SimilarWeb's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding82.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments63.9 M

SimilarWeb Fundamentals Growth

SimilarWeb Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of SimilarWeb, and SimilarWeb fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on SimilarWeb Stock performance.

About SimilarWeb Performance

By analyzing SimilarWeb's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into SimilarWeb's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if SimilarWeb has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if SimilarWeb has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 1.33  1.18 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.05)(0.05)
Return On Capital Employed(0.17)(0.16)
Return On Assets(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Equity(0.48)(0.50)

Things to note about SimilarWeb performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about SimilarWeb for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for SimilarWeb help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SimilarWeb generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SimilarWeb has high historical volatility and very poor performance
SimilarWeb currently holds 39.73 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.38, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. SimilarWeb has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about SimilarWeb's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 249.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 217.28 M.
SimilarWeb has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 73.0% of SimilarWeb shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Brokerages Set Similarweb Ltd. PT at 11.07
Evaluating SimilarWeb's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate SimilarWeb's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing SimilarWeb's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether SimilarWeb's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining SimilarWeb's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating SimilarWeb's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of SimilarWeb's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of SimilarWeb's stock. These opinions can provide insight into SimilarWeb's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating SimilarWeb's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact SimilarWeb's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for SimilarWeb Stock analysis

When running SimilarWeb's price analysis, check to measure SimilarWeb's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SimilarWeb is operating at the current time. Most of SimilarWeb's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SimilarWeb's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SimilarWeb's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SimilarWeb to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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