Senestech Stock Performance

SNES Stock  USD 1.79  0.11  5.79%   
The entity has a beta of 2.1, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, SenesTech will likely underperform. At this point, SenesTech has a negative expected return of -0.92%. Please make sure to validate SenesTech's jensen alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and period momentum indicator , to decide if SenesTech performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days SenesTech has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:10
Dividend Date
2020-02-05
Last Split Date
2024-07-25
1
Green Plains Renewable Energy Q3 Earnings Top Estimates
11/05/2025
2
SenesTech, Inc. Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
11/12/2025
3
Senestech FY2025 EPS Estimate Increased by HC Wainwright
11/14/2025
4
SenesTech Generates Strong Revenue Growth - Huge Upside Possible
11/17/2025
5
Disposition of tradable shares by Leach Jacob Steven of SenesTech at 2.71 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/18/2025
6
Disposition of 50000 shares by Dyer Cheryl Ann of SenesTech subject to Rule 16b-3
11/20/2025
7
Review After SenesTech On-Site Factory Tour
12/16/2025
8
Acquisition by Chesterman Thomas C of 50000 shares of SenesTech at 1.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2025
9
Insider Trading
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow5.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-56 K

SenesTech Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  332.00  in SenesTech on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (153.00) from holding SenesTech or give up 46.08% of portfolio value over 90 days. SenesTech is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.2114% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 37% of stocks are less volatile than SenesTech, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days SenesTech is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.58 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.22 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

SenesTech Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of SenesTech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.79 90 days 1.79 
over 95.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SenesTech to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.54 (This SenesTech probability density function shows the probability of SenesTech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.1 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, SenesTech will likely underperform. Additionally SenesTech has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SenesTech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SenesTech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SenesTech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SenesTech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.725.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.848.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.755.96
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.1010.0011.10
Details

SenesTech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SenesTech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SenesTech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SenesTech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SenesTech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.10
σ
Overall volatility
0.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

SenesTech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SenesTech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SenesTech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SenesTech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SenesTech may become a speculative penny stock
SenesTech has high historical volatility and very poor performance
SenesTech has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.46 M.
SenesTech currently holds about 5.02 M in cash with (6.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.41.
SenesTech has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Insider Trading

SenesTech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SenesTech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SenesTech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SenesTech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding698 K
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 M

SenesTech Fundamentals Growth

SenesTech Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of SenesTech, and SenesTech fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on SenesTech Stock performance.

About SenesTech Performance

Assessing SenesTech's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into SenesTech's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the SenesTech is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 390.72  371.18 
Return On Tangible Assets(1.70)(1.78)
Return On Capital Employed(2.64)(2.51)
Return On Assets(1.70)(1.78)
Return On Equity(2.83)(2.69)

Things to note about SenesTech performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about SenesTech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for SenesTech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SenesTech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SenesTech may become a speculative penny stock
SenesTech has high historical volatility and very poor performance
SenesTech has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.46 M.
SenesTech currently holds about 5.02 M in cash with (6.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.41.
SenesTech has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Insider Trading
Evaluating SenesTech's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate SenesTech's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing SenesTech's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether SenesTech's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining SenesTech's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating SenesTech's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of SenesTech's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of SenesTech's stock. These opinions can provide insight into SenesTech's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating SenesTech's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact SenesTech's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for SenesTech Stock Analysis

When running SenesTech's price analysis, check to measure SenesTech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SenesTech is operating at the current time. Most of SenesTech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SenesTech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SenesTech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SenesTech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.