Timothy Aggressive Growth Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

TCAGX Fund  USD 10.40  0.04  0.39%   
The entity has a beta of 1.01, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Timothy Aggressive returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Timothy Aggressive is expected to follow.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

16 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Timothy Aggressive Growth are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Timothy Aggressive may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
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Expense Ratio Date22nd of February 2023
Expense Ratio2.2400
  

Timothy Aggressive Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  923.00  in Timothy Aggressive Growth on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  117.00  from holding Timothy Aggressive Growth or generate 12.68% return on investment over 90 days. Timothy Aggressive Growth is currently producing 0.1908% returns and takes up 0.9231% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 8% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Timothy, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Timothy Aggressive is expected to generate 1.24 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.24 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.2 per unit of risk.

Timothy Aggressive Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
10.40
Please note that Timothy Aggressive's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Timothy Aggressive Growth has a current Real Value of $10.24 per share. The regular price of the fund is $10.4. We determine the value of Timothy Aggressive Growth from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Timothy Aggressive is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Timothy Mutual Fund. However, Timothy Aggressive's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  10.4 Real  10.24 Hype  10.4 Naive  10.52
The intrinsic value of Timothy Aggressive's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Timothy Aggressive's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
10.24
Real Value
11.16
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Timothy Aggressive Growth helps investors to forecast how Timothy mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Timothy Aggressive more accurately as focusing exclusively on Timothy Aggressive's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.9310.2910.65
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.4810.4011.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.6010.5211.44
Details

Timothy Aggressive Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Timothy Aggressive's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Timothy Aggressive Growth, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Timothy Aggressive's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.2067

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.92
  actual daily
8
92% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.19
  actual daily
3
97% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.21
  actual daily
16
84% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Timothy Aggressive is performing at about 16% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Timothy Aggressive by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Timothy Aggressive Fundamentals Growth

Timothy Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Timothy Aggressive, and Timothy Aggressive fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Timothy Mutual Fund performance.

About Timothy Aggressive Performance

Evaluating Timothy Aggressive's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Timothy Aggressive has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Timothy Aggressive has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its total assets in stocks of small and mid-cap companies. It invests using a growth investing style. Growth funds generally focus on stocks of companies believed to have above-average potential for growth in revenue, earnings, cash flow, or other similar criteria. The fund invests its assets in the securities of a limited number of companies, which the funds investment manager believes show a high probability for superior growth.

Things to note about Timothy Aggressive Growth performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Timothy Aggressive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Timothy Aggressive Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 96.09% of its assets in stocks
Evaluating Timothy Aggressive's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Timothy Aggressive's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Timothy Aggressive's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Timothy Aggressive's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Timothy Aggressive's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Timothy Aggressive's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Timothy Aggressive's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Timothy Aggressive's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Timothy Aggressive's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Timothy Aggressive's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Timothy Aggressive's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Timothy Mutual Fund

Timothy Aggressive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timothy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timothy with respect to the benefits of owning Timothy Aggressive security.
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