Thornburg Developing World Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

THDIX Fund  USD 30.44  0.17  0.56%   
The entity has a beta of -0.17, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Thornburg Developing are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Thornburg Developing is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Thornburg Developing World are ranked lower than 28 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Thornburg Developing showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of February 2026
Expense Ratio1.0400
  

Thornburg Developing Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,583  in Thornburg Developing World on November 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  444.00  from holding Thornburg Developing World or generate 17.19% return on investment over 90 days. Thornburg Developing World is currently producing 0.2629% returns and takes up 0.7223% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 6% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Thornburg, and 95% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Thornburg Developing is expected to generate 0.96 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.05 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.36 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Thornburg Developing Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
30.44
Please note that Thornburg Developing's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be undervalued. Thornburg Developing has a current Real Value of $32.5 per share. The regular price of the fund is $30.44. We determine the value of Thornburg Developing from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Thornburg Developing is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Thornburg Mutual Fund. However, Thornburg Developing's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  30.44 Real  32.5 Hype  30.44 Naive  30.58
The intrinsic value of Thornburg Developing's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Thornburg Developing's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
32.50
Real Value
33.22
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Thornburg Developing World helps investors to forecast how Thornburg mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Thornburg Developing more accurately as focusing exclusively on Thornburg Developing's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.6429.8830.64
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.7230.4431.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
29.8630.5831.30
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Thornburg Developing World extending back to December 16, 2009. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Thornburg Developing stands at 30.44, as last reported on the 26th of February, with the highest price reaching 30.44 and the lowest price hitting 30.44 during the day.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Thornburg Developing Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Thornburg Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.44 90 days 30.44 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thornburg Developing to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Thornburg Developing World probability density function shows the probability of Thornburg Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Thornburg Developing World has a beta of -0.17. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Thornburg Developing are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Thornburg Developing World is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Thornburg Developing World has an alpha of 0.2549, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Thornburg Developing Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thornburg Developing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thornburg Developing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.7230.4431.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.4032.5033.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.8630.5831.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.6429.8830.64
Details

Thornburg Developing Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thornburg Developing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thornburg Developing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thornburg Developing World, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thornburg Developing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
1.51
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Thornburg Developing Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thornburg Developing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thornburg Developing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 96.37% of its assets in stocks

Thornburg Developing Fundamentals Growth

Thornburg Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Thornburg Developing, and Thornburg Developing fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Thornburg Mutual Fund performance.

About Thornburg Developing Performance

Evaluating Thornburg Developing's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Thornburg Developing has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Thornburg Developing has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal market conditions, the fund pursues its objective by investing at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings for investment purposes, in equity securities of issuers which Thornburg views as having substantial economic ties to one or more developing countries.

Things to note about Thornburg Developing performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thornburg Developing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Thornburg Developing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 96.37% of its assets in stocks
Evaluating Thornburg Developing's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Thornburg Developing's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Thornburg Developing's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Thornburg Developing's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Thornburg Developing's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Thornburg Developing's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Thornburg Developing's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Thornburg Developing's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Thornburg Developing's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Thornburg Developing's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Thornburg Developing's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Thornburg Mutual Fund

Thornburg Developing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thornburg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thornburg with respect to the benefits of owning Thornburg Developing security.
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