Talphera Stock Performance
| TLPH Stock | 0.81 0.03 3.57% |
The entity has a beta of 0.0147, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Talphera's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Talphera is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Talphera has a negative expected return of -0.73%. Please make sure to validate Talphera's jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Talphera performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Talphera has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more
Last Split Factor 1:20 | Last Split Date 2022-10-26 |
1 | Talphera, Inc. Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript | 11/14/2025 |
2 | Will Talphera Inc. stock deliver compounding returns - MA Rumor Daily Stock Trend Reports - newser.com | 11/18/2025 |
3 | Talphera Trading 3.2 percent Higher - Heres Why - MarketBeat | 12/04/2025 |
4 | Aug Gainers Is Talphera Inc. stock a buy before product launches - Wall Street Watch Detailed Earnings Play Strategies - Blm Sonu Canavar | 12/19/2025 |
5 | Talphera Stock Price Down 2.7 percent - Heres Why - MarketBeat | 12/29/2025 |
6 | Disposition of 3515 shares by Vincent Angotti of Talphera at 0.6299 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/06/2026 |
7 | Why analysts remain bullish on Talphera Inc. stock - Weekly Stock Analysis Safe Entry Trade Reports - ulpravda.ru | 01/08/2026 |
8 | Acquisition by Nantahala Capital Management, Llc of 6168832 shares of Talphera at 0.001 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/26/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 5.7 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 3.8 M |
Talphera Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 132.00 in Talphera on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (51.00) from holding Talphera or give up 38.64% of portfolio value over 90 days. Talphera is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.9671% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 35% of stocks are less volatile than Talphera, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Talphera Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Talphera Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.81 | 90 days | 0.81 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Talphera to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Talphera probability density function shows the probability of Talphera Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Talphera Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Talphera
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Talphera. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Talphera Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Talphera is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Talphera's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Talphera, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Talphera within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Talphera Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Talphera for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Talphera can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Talphera generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Talphera has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Talphera has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Talphera has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Talphera currently holds 6.53 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.17, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Talphera has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Talphera's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (13 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.77 M). | |
| Talphera currently holds about 90.29 K in cash with (12.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 28.0% of Talphera outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Talphera Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Talphera Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Talphera's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Talphera's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.9 M |
Talphera Fundamentals Growth
Talphera Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Talphera, and Talphera fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Talphera Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.86 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.31 | ||||
| Current Valuation | 16.81 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 46.61 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.99 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1,353 X | ||||
| Gross Profit | (5.77 M) | ||||
| EBITDA | (15.16 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (13 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 90.29 K | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.01 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 6.53 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.17 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.64 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.42 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (12.68 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.38) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 37.88 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 18.24 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (457.23 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 6.77 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 9.04 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 14.14 M | ||||
About Talphera Performance
By evaluating Talphera's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Talphera's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Talphera has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Talphera has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 234.96 | 246.70 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.64) | (0.67) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (1.13) | (1.18) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.64) | (0.67) | |
| Return On Equity | (1.87) | (1.78) |
Things to note about Talphera performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Talphera for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Talphera help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Talphera generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Talphera has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Talphera has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Talphera has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Talphera currently holds 6.53 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.17, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Talphera has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Talphera's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (13 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.77 M). | |
| Talphera currently holds about 90.29 K in cash with (12.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 28.0% of Talphera outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
- Analyzing Talphera's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Talphera's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Talphera's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Talphera's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Talphera's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Talphera's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Talphera's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Talphera Stock analysis
When running Talphera's price analysis, check to measure Talphera's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Talphera is operating at the current time. Most of Talphera's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Talphera's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Talphera's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Talphera to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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