Megashort 20 Year Etf Performance
| TLTD Etf | 18.47 0.31 1.65% |
The etf secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.27, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning MegaShort are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, MegaShort is likely to outperform the market.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in MegaShort 20 Year are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, MegaShort displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
MegaShort |
MegaShort Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,636 in MegaShort 20 Year on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 211.00 from holding MegaShort 20 Year or generate 12.9% return on investment over 90 days. MegaShort 20 Year is generating 0.2151% of daily returns and assumes 1.8094% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 16% of etfs are less volatile than MegaShort, and 96% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
MegaShort Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of MegaShort Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 18.47 | 90 days | 18.47 | about 23.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MegaShort to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 23.06 (This MegaShort 20 Year probability density function shows the probability of MegaShort Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MegaShort 20 Year has a beta of -0.27. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MegaShort are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MegaShort 20 Year is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MegaShort 20 Year has an alpha of 0.2031, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MegaShort Price Density |
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