Timothy Largemid Cap Value Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

TLVCX Fund  USD 15.00  0.07  0.46%   
The entity has a beta of 0.24, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Timothy Large/mid-cap's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Timothy Large/mid-cap is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Timothy Largemid Cap Value are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, Timothy Large/mid-cap showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Expense Ratio Date30th of April 2025
Expense Ratio2.0400
  

Timothy Large/mid-cap Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,279  in Timothy Largemid Cap Value on October 27, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  221.00  from holding Timothy Largemid Cap Value or generate 17.28% return on investment over 90 days. Timothy Largemid Cap Value is currently producing 0.2769% returns and takes up 2.0734% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 18% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Timothy, and 95% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Timothy Large/mid-cap is expected to generate 2.83 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.83 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Timothy Large/mid-cap Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
15.00
Please note that Timothy Large/mid-cap's price fluctuation is out of control at this time. Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the fund cannot be evaluated at this time. Timothy Large/mid-cap current Real Value cannot be determined due to lack of data. The regular price of Timothy Large/mid-cap is $15.0. We determine the value of Timothy Large/mid-cap from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Timothy Large/mid-cap is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Timothy Mutual Fund. However, Timothy Large/mid-cap's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  15.0 Real  0.0 Hype  0.0 Naive  15.5
The intrinsic value of Timothy Large/mid-cap's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Timothy Large/mid-cap's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
0.00
Real Value
2.07
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Timothy Largemid Cap Value helps investors to forecast how Timothy mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Timothy Large/mid-cap more accurately as focusing exclusively on Timothy Large/mid-cap's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.0314.6315.23
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.002.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
13.4315.5017.58
Details

Timothy Large/mid-cap Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Timothy Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.00 90 days 15.00 
about 8.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Timothy Large/mid-cap to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.21 (This Timothy Largemid Cap Value probability density function shows the probability of Timothy Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Timothy Large/mid-cap has a beta of 0.24. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Timothy Large/mid-cap average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Timothy Largemid Cap Value will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Timothy Largemid Cap Value has an alpha of 0.2506, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Timothy Large/mid-cap Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Timothy Large/mid-cap

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timothy Large/mid-cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Timothy Large/mid-cap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.002.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.002.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.4315.5017.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.0314.6315.23
Details

Timothy Large/mid-cap Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Timothy Large/mid-cap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Timothy Large/mid-cap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Timothy Largemid Cap Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Timothy Large/mid-cap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
1.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Timothy Large/mid-cap Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Timothy Large/mid-cap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Timothy Large/mid-cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 8.91% of its assets in cash

Timothy Large/mid-cap Fundamentals Growth

Timothy Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Timothy Large/mid-cap, and Timothy Large/mid-cap fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Timothy Mutual Fund performance.

About Timothy Large/mid-cap Performance

Evaluating Timothy Large/mid-cap's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Timothy Large/mid-cap has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Timothy Large/mid-cap has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The investment seeks long-term growth of capital, with a secondary objective of current income. Timothy Plan is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Timothy Large/mid-cap performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Timothy Large/mid-cap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Timothy Large/mid-cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 8.91% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Timothy Large/mid-cap's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Timothy Large/mid-cap's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Timothy Large/mid-cap's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Timothy Large/mid-cap's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Timothy Large/mid-cap's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Timothy Large/mid-cap's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Timothy Large/mid-cap's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Timothy Large/mid-cap's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Timothy Large/mid-cap's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Timothy Large/mid-cap's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Timothy Large/mid-cap's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Timothy Mutual Fund

Timothy Large/mid-cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timothy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timothy with respect to the benefits of owning Timothy Large/mid-cap security.
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