Direxion Daily 20 Etf Performance

TMF Etf  USD 40.01  0.32  0.79%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.23, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Direxion Daily's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Direxion Daily is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Direxion Daily 20 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable primary indicators, Direxion Daily is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
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Motley Fool Asset Management Launches Three New Passive ETFs to Expand Core Portfolio Investment Offerings - The Manila Times
12/09/2025

Direxion Daily Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,063  in Direxion Daily 20 on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (62.00) from holding Direxion Daily 20 or give up 1.53% of portfolio value over 90 days. Direxion Daily 20 is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.576% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 14% of etfs are less volatile than Direxion, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Direxion Daily is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.11 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Direxion Daily 20 extending back to April 16, 2009. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Direxion Daily stands at 40.01, as last reported on the 21st of February, with the highest price reaching 40.41 and the lowest price hitting 39.38 during the day.
3 y Volatility
41.83
200 Day MA
38.7468
1 y Volatility
27.45
50 Day MA
38.0724
Inception Date
2009-04-16
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Direxion Daily Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Direxion Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 40.01 90 days 40.01 
about 9.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Direxion Daily to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.49 (This Direxion Daily 20 probability density function shows the probability of Direxion Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Direxion Daily has a beta of 0.23. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Direxion Daily average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Direxion Daily 20 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Direxion Daily 20 has an alpha of 0.0152, implying that it can generate a 0.0152 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Direxion Daily Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Direxion Daily

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Direxion Daily 20. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.4240.0041.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.5838.1644.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.9541.5343.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.6339.6558.67
Details

Direxion Daily Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Direxion Daily is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Direxion Daily's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Direxion Daily 20, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Direxion Daily within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
1.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Direxion Daily Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Direxion Daily for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Direxion Daily 20 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Direxion Daily 20 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
This fund generated-15.0 ten year return of -15.0%
Direxion Daily maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Direxion Daily Fundamentals Growth

Direxion Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Direxion Daily, and Direxion Daily fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Direxion Etf performance.
Total Asset437.22 M

About Direxion Daily Performance

By analyzing Direxion Daily's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Direxion Daily's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Direxion Daily has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Direxion Daily has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The fund, under normal circumstances, invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in financial instruments, such as swap agreements, securities of the index, and ETFs that track the index and other financial instruments that provide daily leveraged exposure to the index or to ETFs that track the index. 20 Year is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
Direxion Daily 20 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
This fund generated-15.0 ten year return of -15.0%
Direxion Daily maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.
When determining whether Direxion Daily 20 is a strong investment it is important to analyze Direxion Daily's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Direxion Daily's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Direxion Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Direxion Daily 20. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Direxion Daily 20's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Direxion's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Direxion Daily's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Direxion Daily's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Direxion Daily's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Direxion Daily is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Direxion Daily's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.