True North Gems Stock Performance
| TNGMF Stock | USD 0.09 0.00 0.00% |
The entity has a beta of 0.0819, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, True North's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding True North is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, True North Gems has a negative expected return of -0.4%. Please make sure to validate True North's variance, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if True North Gems performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days True North Gems has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's primary indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 601.5 K | |
| Free Cash Flow | -60.2 K |
True |
True North Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 12.00 in True North Gems on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2.80) from holding True North Gems or give up 23.33% of portfolio value over 90 days. True North Gems is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.822% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 16% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than True, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
True North Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of True Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.09 | 90 days | 0.09 | about 82.46 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of True North to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.46 (This True North Gems probability density function shows the probability of True Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon True North has a beta of 0.0819. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, True North average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding True North Gems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally True North Gems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. True North Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for True North
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as True North Gems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.True North Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. True North is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the True North's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold True North Gems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of True North within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
True North Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of True North for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for True North Gems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| True North Gems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| True North Gems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| True North Gems has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (457.46 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.5 K. | |
| True North Gems has accumulated about 697.89 K in cash with (60.18 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. |
True North Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of True Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential True North's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. True North's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.6 M | |
| Shares Float | 31 M |
True North Fundamentals Growth
True Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of True North, and True North fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on True Pink Sheet performance.
| Return On Asset | -0.17 | |||
| Current Valuation | 5.42 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 31.58 M | |||
| EBITDA | (152.86 K) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 697.89 K | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.02 X | |||
| Total Debt | 6.21 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.09 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | (0.18) X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (60.18 K) | |||
| Total Asset | 782.89 K | |||
About True North Performance
By analyzing True North's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into True North's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if True North has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if True North has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
True North Gems Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in Canada. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Vancouver, Canada. True North is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.Things to note about True North Gems performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about True North for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for True North Gems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| True North Gems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| True North Gems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| True North Gems has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (457.46 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.5 K. | |
| True North Gems has accumulated about 697.89 K in cash with (60.18 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. |
- Analyzing True North's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether True North's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining True North's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating True North's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of True North's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of True North's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into True North's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for True Pink Sheet analysis
When running True North's price analysis, check to measure True North's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy True North is operating at the current time. Most of True North's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of True North's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move True North's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of True North to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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