Topcon Stock Performance

TOPCF Stock  USD 1,000,000  0.00  0.00%   
Topcon holds a performance score of 11 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The entity has a beta of 95.0, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Topcon will likely underperform. Use Topcon information ratio, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and skewness , to analyze future returns on Topcon.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Topcon are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak fundamental indicators, Topcon reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow20.4 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-9.8 B
  

Topcon Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,135  in Topcon on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  99,997,865  from holding Topcon or generate 4683740.75% return on investment over 90 days. Topcon is currently producing 21.7259% returns and takes up 147.444% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than Topcon, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Topcon is expected to generate 192.69 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 192.69 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Topcon Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Topcon Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1,000,000 90 days 1,000,000 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Topcon to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Topcon probability density function shows the probability of Topcon Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 95.0 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Topcon will likely underperform. In addition to that Topcon has an alpha of 140264.6777, implying that it can generate a 140265.0 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Topcon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Topcon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Topcon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Topcon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50,0001,000,000101,000,000
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51,0001,020,000101,020,000
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,545,2631,545,4111,545,558
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-499,968100,019700,006
Details

Topcon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Topcon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Topcon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Topcon, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Topcon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
140,265
β
Beta against Dow Jones95.00
σ
Overall volatility
266,632
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Topcon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Topcon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Topcon can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Topcon is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Topcon is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Topcon appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Topcon Fundamentals Growth

Topcon Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Topcon, and Topcon fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Topcon Pink Sheet performance.

About Topcon Performance

By analyzing Topcon's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Topcon's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Topcon has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Topcon has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Topcon Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells positioning, eye care, and smart infrastructure products worldwide. Topcon Corporation was incorporated in 1932 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Topcon Corp operates under Scientific Technical Instruments classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 5248 people.

Things to note about Topcon performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Topcon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Topcon help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Topcon is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Topcon is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Topcon appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Topcon's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Topcon's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Topcon's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Topcon's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Topcon's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Topcon's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Topcon's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Topcon's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Topcon's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Topcon's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Topcon's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Topcon Pink Sheet analysis

When running Topcon's price analysis, check to measure Topcon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Topcon is operating at the current time. Most of Topcon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Topcon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Topcon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Topcon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance