Tri Pointe Homes Stock Performance

TPH Stock  USD 35.35  1.66  4.93%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, TRI Pointe holds a performance score of 7. The entity has a beta of 1.63, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, TRI Pointe will likely underperform. Please check TRI Pointe's semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether TRI Pointe's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in TRI Pointe Homes are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly inconsistent basic indicators, TRI Pointe demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
4.93
Five Day Return
6.41
Year To Date Return
11.97
Ten Year Return
249.65
All Time Return
85.56
1
A Look Back at Home Builders Stocks Q3 Earnings Tri Pointe Homes Vs The Rest Of The Pack - Yahoo Finance
11/06/2025
2
Tri Pointe Homes Revisiting Valuation as Sales Slow and Profitability Pressures Mount
11/28/2025
3
Will Tri Pointe Homes Inc. stock gain from strong economy - July 2025 Price Swings Accurate EntryExit Alerts -
12/18/2025
4
Tri Pointe Homes Inc. TPH is O Keefe Stevens Advisory Inc.s 9th Largest Position - MarketBeat
12/23/2025
5
Disposition of 23164 shares by Douglas Bauer of TRI Pointe at 32.2 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/26/2025
6
This Tri Pointe Homes Insider Reduced Their Stake By 14
01/02/2026
7
What analyst consensus implies for Tri Pointe Homes Inc. stock - 2025 Price Momentum Smart Investment Allocation Insights - ulpravda.ru
01/08/2026
8
Tri Pointe Homes Hasnt Managed To Accelerate Its Returns
01/16/2026
9
3 Stocks Under 50 We Think Twice About
01/22/2026
10
Tri Pointe Homes Inc. Given Consensus Recommendation of Moderate Buy by Brokerages - MarketBeat
02/03/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow869 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-63.5 M

TRI Pointe Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,159  in TRI Pointe Homes on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  376.00  from holding TRI Pointe Homes or generate 11.9% return on investment over 90 days. TRI Pointe Homes is generating 0.2121% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.2604% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 20% of stocks are less volatile than TRI, and above 96% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon TRI Pointe is expected to generate 3.0 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.0 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

TRI Pointe Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of TRI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 35.35 90 days 35.35 
nearly 4.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TRI Pointe to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.21 (This TRI Pointe Homes probability density function shows the probability of TRI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.63 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, TRI Pointe will likely underperform. Additionally TRI Pointe Homes has an alpha of 0.0777, implying that it can generate a 0.0777 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TRI Pointe Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TRI Pointe

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TRI Pointe Homes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.1135.3537.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.7235.9638.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.6431.8834.13
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
34.7638.2042.40
Details

TRI Pointe Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TRI Pointe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TRI Pointe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TRI Pointe Homes, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TRI Pointe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.63
σ
Overall volatility
1.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

TRI Pointe Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TRI Pointe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TRI Pointe Homes can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Tri Pointe Homes Inc. Given Consensus Recommendation of Moderate Buy by Brokerages - MarketBeat

TRI Pointe Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TRI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TRI Pointe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TRI Pointe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding94.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments970 M

TRI Pointe Fundamentals Growth

TRI Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of TRI Pointe, and TRI Pointe fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on TRI Stock performance.

About TRI Pointe Performance

By evaluating TRI Pointe's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into TRI Pointe's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if TRI Pointe has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if TRI Pointe has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 384.87  678.16 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.09  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.12  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.08 

Things to note about TRI Pointe Homes performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about TRI Pointe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for TRI Pointe Homes help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Tri Pointe Homes Inc. Given Consensus Recommendation of Moderate Buy by Brokerages - MarketBeat
Evaluating TRI Pointe's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate TRI Pointe's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing TRI Pointe's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether TRI Pointe's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining TRI Pointe's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating TRI Pointe's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of TRI Pointe's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of TRI Pointe's stock. These opinions can provide insight into TRI Pointe's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating TRI Pointe's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact TRI Pointe's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running TRI Pointe's price analysis, check to measure TRI Pointe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TRI Pointe is operating at the current time. Most of TRI Pointe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TRI Pointe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TRI Pointe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TRI Pointe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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