Trevena Performance

TRVNDelisted Stock  USD 1.98  0.18  10.00%   
The entity has a beta of -3.0, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Trevena are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Trevena is expected to outperform it. At this point, Trevena has a negative expected return of -0.63%. Please make sure to validate Trevena's coefficient of variation, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Trevena performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Trevena has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow40.3 M
  

Trevena Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  410.00  in Trevena on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (212.00) from holding Trevena or give up 51.71% of portfolio value over 90 days. Trevena is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 18.049% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than Trevena, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
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Given the investment horizon of 90 days Trevena is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 24.25 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.2 per unit of volatility.

Trevena Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Trevena's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Trevena, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Trevena's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0346

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Estimated Market Risk

 18.05
  actual daily
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96% of assets are less volatile

Expected Return

 -0.63
  actual daily
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Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.03
  actual daily
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Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Trevena is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Trevena by adding Trevena to a well-diversified portfolio.

Trevena Fundamentals Growth

Trevena Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Trevena, and Trevena fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Trevena Stock performance.

About Trevena Performance

By examining Trevena's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Trevena's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Trevena is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Trevena, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of novel medicines for patients affected by central nervous system disorders. Trevena, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Chesterbrook, Pennsylvania. Trevena operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 43 people.

Things to note about Trevena performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Trevena for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Trevena help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trevena is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Trevena generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Trevena has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Trevena may become a speculative penny stock
Trevena has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (40.29 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.44 M).
Trevena currently holds about 49.52 M in cash with (33.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.28.
Evaluating Trevena's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Trevena's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Trevena's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Trevena's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Trevena's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Trevena's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Trevena's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Trevena's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Trevena's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Trevena's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Trevena's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Other Consideration for investing in Trevena Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Trevena check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Trevena's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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