Treasury Wine Estates Stock Performance

TSRYF Stock  USD 3.70  0.15  4.23%   
Treasury Wine has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.27, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Treasury Wine are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Treasury Wine is likely to outperform the market. Treasury Wine Estates right now has a risk of 3.76%. Please validate Treasury Wine total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and period momentum indicator , to decide if Treasury Wine will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Treasury Wine Estates are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak basic indicators, Treasury Wine may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow448.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-408.6 M
  

Treasury Wine Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  355.00  in Treasury Wine Estates on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  15.00  from holding Treasury Wine Estates or generate 4.23% return on investment over 90 days. Treasury Wine Estates is currently producing 0.1382% returns and takes up 3.7636% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 33% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Treasury, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Treasury Wine is expected to generate 4.65 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.65 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Treasury Wine Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Treasury Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.70 90 days 3.70 
about 38.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Treasury Wine to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 38.43 (This Treasury Wine Estates probability density function shows the probability of Treasury Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Treasury Wine Estates has a beta of -0.27. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Treasury Wine are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Treasury Wine Estates is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Treasury Wine Estates has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Treasury Wine Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Treasury Wine

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Treasury Wine Estates. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Treasury Wine's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.193.707.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.153.086.84
Details

Treasury Wine Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Treasury Wine is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Treasury Wine's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Treasury Wine Estates, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Treasury Wine within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Treasury Wine Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Treasury Wine for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Treasury Wine Estates can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Treasury Wine had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Treasury Wine Fundamentals Growth

Treasury Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Treasury Wine, and Treasury Wine fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Treasury Pink Sheet performance.

About Treasury Wine Performance

By analyzing Treasury Wine's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Treasury Wine's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Treasury Wine has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Treasury Wine has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Treasury Wine Estates Limited operates as a wine company primarily in Australia, New Zealand, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Americas. Treasury Wine Estates Limited was founded in 1843 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia. Treasury Wine operates under BeveragesWineries Distilleries classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 2500 people.

Things to note about Treasury Wine Estates performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Treasury Wine for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Treasury Wine Estates help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Treasury Wine had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Evaluating Treasury Wine's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Treasury Wine's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Treasury Wine's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Treasury Wine's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Treasury Wine's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Treasury Wine's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Treasury Wine's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Treasury Wine's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Treasury Wine's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Treasury Wine's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Treasury Wine's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Treasury Pink Sheet analysis

When running Treasury Wine's price analysis, check to measure Treasury Wine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Treasury Wine is operating at the current time. Most of Treasury Wine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Treasury Wine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Treasury Wine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Treasury Wine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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