Guggenheim Directional Allocation Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

TVRCX Fund  USD 17.75  0.09  0.51%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.75, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Guggenheim Directional's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Guggenheim Directional is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

18 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Guggenheim Directional Allocation are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, Guggenheim Directional may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
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Guggenheim Directional Allocation Fund Q2 2024 Commentary - Seeking Alpha
09/25/2024
Expense Ratio Date24th of May 2023
Expense Ratio2.0500
  

Guggenheim Directional Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,609  in Guggenheim Directional Allocation on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  166.00  from holding Guggenheim Directional Allocation or generate 10.32% return on investment over 90 days. Guggenheim Directional Allocation is currently producing 0.1558% returns and takes up 0.6738% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 6% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Guggenheim, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guggenheim Directional is expected to generate 0.9 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.11 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.2 per unit of risk.

Guggenheim Directional Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
17.75
Please note that Guggenheim Directional's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Guggenheim Directional retains a regular Real Value of $17.5 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $17.75. We determine the value of Guggenheim Directional from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Guggenheim Directional is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Guggenheim Mutual Fund. However, Guggenheim Directional's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  17.75 Real  17.5 Hype  17.75 Naive  17.79
The intrinsic value of Guggenheim Directional's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Guggenheim Directional's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
17.50
Real Value
18.17
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Guggenheim Directional Allocation helps investors to forecast how Guggenheim mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Guggenheim Directional more accurately as focusing exclusively on Guggenheim Directional's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.3417.5917.84
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.0817.7518.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
17.1117.7918.46
Details

Guggenheim Directional Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guggenheim Directional's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Guggenheim Directional Allocation, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Guggenheim Directional's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.2312

Best PortfolioBest Equity
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Estimated Market Risk

 0.67
  actual daily
5
95% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.16
  actual daily
3
97% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.23
  actual daily
18
82% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Guggenheim Directional is performing at about 18% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Guggenheim Directional by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Guggenheim Directional Fundamentals Growth

Guggenheim Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guggenheim Directional, and Guggenheim Directional fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guggenheim Mutual Fund performance.

About Guggenheim Directional Performance

Evaluating Guggenheim Directional's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Guggenheim Directional has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Guggenheim Directional has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal circumstances, the fund uses a balanced approach to invest in a broad range of securities, including equity, debt, and securities issued and guaranteed by the U.S. government and federal agencies and instrumentalities. The funds asset allocation strategy diversifies equity securities and fixed-income investments. The fund employs a proprietary quantitative model to determine the exposure between equity and fixed income to participate in rising markets while attempting to preserve capital during market declines. The funds exposure will generally be at least 20 percent fixed income and up to 80 percent equity.

Things to note about Guggenheim Directional performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guggenheim Directional for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Guggenheim Directional help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 110.22% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Guggenheim Directional's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Guggenheim Directional's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Guggenheim Directional's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guggenheim Directional's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Guggenheim Directional's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Guggenheim Directional's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guggenheim Directional's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guggenheim Directional's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Guggenheim Directional's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Guggenheim Directional's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Guggenheim Directional's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Guggenheim Mutual Fund

Guggenheim Directional financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guggenheim Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guggenheim with respect to the benefits of owning Guggenheim Directional security.
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