Union Pacific (Mexico) Performance

UNP Stock  MXN 4,638  18.72  0.41%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Union Pacific holds a performance score of 8. The entity has a beta of -0.4, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Union Pacific are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Union Pacific is likely to outperform the market. Please check Union Pacific's skewness, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Union Pacific's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Union Pacific are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unfluctuating basic indicators, Union Pacific showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

Union Pacific Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  410,000  in Union Pacific on December 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  53,799  from holding Union Pacific or generate 13.12% return on investment over 90 days. Union Pacific is generating 0.2251% of daily returns assuming 2.0409% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 18% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Union Pacific, and 96% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Union Pacific is expected to generate 2.66 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.66 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.04 per unit of risk.

Union Pacific Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Union Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4,638 90 days 4,638 
roughly 2.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Union Pacific to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.03 (This Union Pacific probability density function shows the probability of Union Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Union Pacific has a beta of -0.4. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Union Pacific are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Union Pacific is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Union Pacific has an alpha of 0.2177, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Union Pacific Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Union Pacific

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Union Pacific. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,6364,6384,640
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,3654,3675,102
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,4354,4374,439
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,6384,6384,638
Details

Union Pacific Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Union Pacific is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Union Pacific's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Union Pacific, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Union Pacific within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.4
σ
Overall volatility
204.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Union Pacific Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Union Pacific for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Union Pacific can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Union Pacific has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Union Pacific has accumulated 31.65 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 150.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Union Pacific has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Union Pacific until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Union Pacific's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Union Pacific sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Union to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Union Pacific's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 81.0% of Union Pacific outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Union Pacific Fundamentals Growth

Union Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Union Pacific, and Union Pacific fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Union Stock performance.

About Union Pacific Performance

Evaluating Union Pacific's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Union Pacific has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Union Pacific has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, engages in the railroad business in the United States. Union Pacific Corporation was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. UNION PACIFIC operates under Railroads classification in Mexico and is traded on Mexico Stock Exchange. It employs 355 people.

Things to note about Union Pacific performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Union Pacific for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Union Pacific help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Union Pacific has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Union Pacific has accumulated 31.65 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 150.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Union Pacific has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Union Pacific until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Union Pacific's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Union Pacific sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Union to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Union Pacific's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 81.0% of Union Pacific outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Union Pacific's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Union Pacific's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Union Pacific's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Union Pacific's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Union Pacific's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Union Pacific's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Union Pacific's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Union Pacific's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Union Pacific's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Union Pacific's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Union Pacific's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Union Stock Analysis

When running Union Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Union Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Union Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Union Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Union Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Union Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Union Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.