ALLSTATE P 555 Performance

020002AS0   107.58  1.14  1.07%   
The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.54, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ALLSTATE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ALLSTATE is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ALLSTATE P 555 are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, ALLSTATE is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
  

ALLSTATE Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  10,487  in ALLSTATE P 555 on December 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  271.00  from holding ALLSTATE P 555 or generate 2.58% return on investment over 90 days. ALLSTATE P 555 is generating 0.0476% of daily returns and assumes 0.6419% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 5% of bonds are less volatile than ALLSTATE, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ALLSTATE is expected to generate 1.13 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.18 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

ALLSTATE Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ALLSTATE Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 107.58 90 days 107.58 
about 7.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ALLSTATE to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.98 (This ALLSTATE P 555 probability density function shows the probability of ALLSTATE Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ALLSTATE P 555 has a beta of -0.54. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ALLSTATE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ALLSTATE P 555 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ALLSTATE P 555 has an alpha of 0.1026, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ALLSTATE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ALLSTATE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ALLSTATE P 555. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
106.57107.58108.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86.9687.97118.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
107.59108.61109.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-124.22103.78115.18
Details

ALLSTATE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ALLSTATE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ALLSTATE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ALLSTATE P 555, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ALLSTATE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.54
σ
Overall volatility
2.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.008

About ALLSTATE Performance

By analyzing ALLSTATE's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into ALLSTATE's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if ALLSTATE has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if ALLSTATE has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.