US18539UAD72 Performance

18539UAD7   89.32  4.30  4.59%   
The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.83, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 18539UAD7 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 18539UAD7 is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days US18539UAD72 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest unfluctuating performance, the Bond's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for US18539UAD72 investors. ...more
  

18539UAD7 Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  9,221  in US18539UAD72 on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (702.00) from holding US18539UAD72 or give up 7.61% of portfolio value over 90 days. US18539UAD72 is generating negative expected returns and assumes 1.634% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 14% of bonds are less volatile than 18539UAD7, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 18539UAD7 is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.2 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

18539UAD7 Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of 18539UAD7 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 89.32 90 days 89.32 
about 85.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 18539UAD7 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.77 (This US18539UAD72 probability density function shows the probability of 18539UAD7 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon US18539UAD72 has a beta of -0.83. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 18539UAD7 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, US18539UAD72 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally US18539UAD72 has an alpha of 0.0088, implying that it can generate a 0.008847 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   18539UAD7 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 18539UAD7

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as US18539UAD72. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
87.8089.3290.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86.0687.5898.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
87.4889.0190.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
82.9991.0899.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 18539UAD7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 18539UAD7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 18539UAD7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in US18539UAD72.

18539UAD7 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 18539UAD7 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 18539UAD7's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold US18539UAD72, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 18539UAD7 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.83
σ
Overall volatility
2.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

18539UAD7 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 18539UAD7 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for US18539UAD72 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
US18539UAD72 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
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About 18539UAD7 Performance

By analyzing 18539UAD7's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into 18539UAD7's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if 18539UAD7 has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if 18539UAD7 has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
US18539UAD72 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
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Other Information on Investing in 18539UAD7 Bond

18539UAD7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 18539UAD7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 18539UAD7 with respect to the benefits of owning 18539UAD7 security.