INTERNATIONAL PAPER 435 Performance

460146CS0   81.70  0.36  0.44%   
The bond retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.34, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning INTERNATIONAL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, INTERNATIONAL is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days INTERNATIONAL PAPER 435 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, INTERNATIONAL is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
  

INTERNATIONAL Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,140  in INTERNATIONAL PAPER 435 on November 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  7.00  from holding INTERNATIONAL PAPER 435 or generate 0.09% return on investment over 90 days. INTERNATIONAL PAPER 435 is generating 0.003% of daily returns and assumes 0.5139% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 4% of bonds are less volatile than INTERNATIONAL, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon INTERNATIONAL is expected to generate 20.13 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.48 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

INTERNATIONAL Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of INTERNATIONAL Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 81.70 90 days 81.70 
about 45.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of INTERNATIONAL to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 45.32 (This INTERNATIONAL PAPER 435 probability density function shows the probability of INTERNATIONAL Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon INTERNATIONAL PAPER 435 has a beta of -0.34. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding INTERNATIONAL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, INTERNATIONAL PAPER 435 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally INTERNATIONAL PAPER 435 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   INTERNATIONAL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for INTERNATIONAL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INTERNATIONAL PAPER 435. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
81.1981.7082.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.8253.3389.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.9578.4678.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-775.4579.73122.49
Details

INTERNATIONAL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. INTERNATIONAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the INTERNATIONAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold INTERNATIONAL PAPER 435, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of INTERNATIONAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0044
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.34
σ
Overall volatility
10.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

About INTERNATIONAL Performance

By analyzing INTERNATIONAL's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into INTERNATIONAL's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if INTERNATIONAL has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if INTERNATIONAL has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.