Invesco American Franchise Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

VAFIX Fund  USD 30.93  0.20  0.65%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.03, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Invesco American returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Invesco American is expected to follow.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Invesco American Franchise has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Invesco American is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Invesco American Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,296  in Invesco American Franchise on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (203.00) from holding Invesco American Franchise or give up 6.16% of portfolio value over 90 days. Invesco American Franchise is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.2735% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 11% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Invesco, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco American is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.71 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Invesco American Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
30.93
Please note that Invesco American's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Invesco American Fra retains a regular Real Value of $31.16 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $30.93. We determine the value of Invesco American Fra from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Invesco American is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Invesco Mutual Fund. However, Invesco American's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  30.93 Real  31.16 Hype  32.46 Naive  30.8
The intrinsic value of Invesco American's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Invesco American's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
31.16
Real Value
32.43
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Invesco American Franchise helps investors to forecast how Invesco mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Invesco American more accurately as focusing exclusively on Invesco American's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.4131.0331.66
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.8432.4633.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
29.5330.8032.08
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Invesco American Franchise extending back to June 23, 2005. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Invesco American stands at 30.93, as last reported on the 27th of January, with the highest price reaching 30.93 and the lowest price hitting 30.93 during the day.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Invesco American Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.93 90 days 30.93 
about 56.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco American to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 56.62 (This Invesco American Franchise probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This entails Invesco American Franchise market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Invesco American is expected to follow. Additionally Invesco American Franchise has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Invesco American Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco American

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco American Fra. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.8432.4633.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.8931.1632.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.5330.8032.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.4131.0331.66
Details

Invesco American Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco American Franchise, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Invesco American Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco American Fra can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco American Fra generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Buy These 3 Dimensional Mutual Funds to Strengthen Your Portfolio - Intellectia AI
The fund keeps 97.57% of its net assets in stocks

Invesco American Fundamentals Growth

Invesco Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Invesco American, and Invesco American fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Invesco Mutual Fund performance.

About Invesco American Performance

Evaluating Invesco American's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Invesco American has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Invesco American has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of U.S. issuers, and in derivatives and other instruments that have economic characteristics similar to such securities. It invests primarily in securities that are considered by the funds portfolio managers to have potential for earnings or revenue growth. The fund may invest up to 20 percent of its net assets in securities of foreign issuers. It is non-diversified.

Things to note about Invesco American Fra performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Invesco American Fra help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco American Fra generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Buy These 3 Dimensional Mutual Funds to Strengthen Your Portfolio - Intellectia AI
The fund keeps 97.57% of its net assets in stocks
Evaluating Invesco American's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Invesco American's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Invesco American's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Invesco American's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Invesco American's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Invesco American's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Invesco American's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Invesco American's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Invesco American's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Invesco American's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Invesco American's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco American financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco American security.
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