Vanguard Sumer Discretionary Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

VCDAX Fund  USD 188.02  1.31  0.69%   
The entity has a beta of 0.63, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Consumer's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Consumer is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Sumer Discretionary has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Consumer is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Dec2025Feb 0510
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Vanguard Sumer Discr Vanguard Sumer Discr Dividend Benchmark Dow Jones Industrial
Expense Ratio0.0900
  

Vanguard Consumer Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  19,252  in Vanguard Sumer Discretionary on November 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (450.00) from holding Vanguard Sumer Discretionary or give up 2.34% of portfolio value over 90 days. Vanguard Sumer Discretionary is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.2902% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 11% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Vanguard, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15CashMarketVCDAX 0.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.4 -0.05-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.010.000.01
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Consumer is expected to generate 1.75 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.75 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.06 per unit of risk.

Vanguard Consumer Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
188.02
188.0188.02190.5190.45188.0188.02184.184.52
Please note that Vanguard Consumer's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Vanguard Sumer Discr has a current Real Value of $190.45 per share. The regular price of the fund is $188.02. We determine the value of Vanguard Sumer Discr from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Vanguard Consumer is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Vanguard Mutual Fund. However, Vanguard Consumer's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  188.02 Real  190.45 Hype  188.02 Naive  184.52
The intrinsic value of Vanguard Consumer's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Vanguard Consumer's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
169.22
Downside
190.45
Real Value
191.74
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vanguard Sumer Discretionary helps investors to forecast how Vanguard mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vanguard Consumer more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vanguard Consumer's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
189.83198.36206.90
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
186.73188.02189.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
183.23184.52185.81
Details

Vanguard Consumer Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Consumer's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Vanguard Sumer Discretionary, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Vanguard Consumer's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0252

Best PortfolioBest Equity
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Negative ReturnsVCDAX

Estimated Market Risk

 1.29
  actual daily
11
89% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.03
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.03
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Vanguard Consumer is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Vanguard Consumer by adding Vanguard Consumer to a well-diversified portfolio.

Vanguard Consumer Fundamentals Growth

Vanguard Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vanguard Consumer, and Vanguard Consumer fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vanguard Mutual Fund performance.

About Vanguard Consumer Performance

Evaluating Vanguard Consumer's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Vanguard Consumer has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vanguard Consumer has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the index, an index made up of stocks of large, mid-size, and small U.S. companies within the consumer discretionary sector, as classified under the GICS. The Advisor attempts to replicate the target index by seeking to invest all of its assets in the stocks that make up the index, in order to hold each stock in approximately the same proportion as its weighting in the index. It is non-diversified.

Things to note about Vanguard Sumer Discr performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Consumer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Sumer Discr help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vanguard Sumer Discr generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund keeps 99.18% of its net assets in stocks
Evaluating Vanguard Consumer's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vanguard Consumer's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Vanguard Consumer's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vanguard Consumer's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vanguard Consumer's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vanguard Consumer's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vanguard Consumer's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vanguard Consumer's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Vanguard Consumer's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vanguard Consumer's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vanguard Consumer's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Consumer financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Consumer security.
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