Vanguard Sumer Discretionary Fund Manager Performance Evaluation
| VCDAX Fund | USD 210.63 0.14 0.07% |
The entity has a beta of 1.2, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Vanguard Consumer will likely underperform.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Sumer Discretionary are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Consumer is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
...moreVanguard |
Vanguard Consumer Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 20,595 in Vanguard Sumer Discretionary on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 468.00 from holding Vanguard Sumer Discretionary or generate 2.27% return on investment over 90 days. Vanguard Sumer Discretionary is currently producing 0.0442% returns and takes up 1.2223% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 10% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Vanguard, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Vanguard Consumer Current Valuation
Overvalued
Today
Please note that Vanguard Consumer's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Vanguard Sumer Discr has a current Real Value of $194.76 per share. The regular price of the fund is $210.63. We determine the value of Vanguard Sumer Discr from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Vanguard Consumer is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Vanguard Mutual Fund. However, Vanguard Consumer's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 210.63 | Real 194.76 | Hype 210.63 | Naive 213.4 |
The intrinsic value of Vanguard Consumer's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Vanguard Consumer's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vanguard Sumer Discretionary helps investors to forecast how Vanguard mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vanguard Consumer more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vanguard Consumer's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Vanguard Consumer Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Vanguard Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 210.63 | 90 days | 210.63 | about 11.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Consumer to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.61 (This Vanguard Sumer Discretionary probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.2 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Vanguard Consumer will likely underperform. Additionally Vanguard Sumer Discretionary has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vanguard Consumer Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vanguard Consumer
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Sumer Discr. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vanguard Consumer Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Consumer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Consumer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Sumer Discretionary, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Consumer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0028 |
Vanguard Consumer Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Consumer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Sumer Discr can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: VPU Time For Utilities To Turn Higher - Seeking Alpha | |
| The fund keeps 99.18% of its net assets in stocks |
Vanguard Consumer Fundamentals Growth
Vanguard Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vanguard Consumer, and Vanguard Consumer fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vanguard Mutual Fund performance.
| Price To Earning | 18.82 X | |||
| Price To Book | 4.30 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.38 X | |||
| Total Asset | 4.69 B | |||
About Vanguard Consumer Performance
Evaluating Vanguard Consumer's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Vanguard Consumer has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vanguard Consumer has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the index, an index made up of stocks of large, mid-size, and small U.S. companies within the consumer discretionary sector, as classified under the GICS. The Advisor attempts to replicate the target index by seeking to invest all of its assets in the stocks that make up the index, in order to hold each stock in approximately the same proportion as its weighting in the index. It is non-diversified.Things to note about Vanguard Sumer Discr performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Consumer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Sumer Discr help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: VPU Time For Utilities To Turn Higher - Seeking Alpha | |
| The fund keeps 99.18% of its net assets in stocks |
- Analyzing Vanguard Consumer's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vanguard Consumer's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Vanguard Consumer's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Vanguard Consumer's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vanguard Consumer's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vanguard Consumer's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Vanguard Consumer's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund
Vanguard Consumer financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Consumer security.
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