Vanguard Commodity Strategy Fund Manager Performance Evaluation
| VCMDX Fund | USD 28.61 0.38 1.35% |
The entity has a beta of 0.31, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Commodity's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Commodity is expected to be smaller as well.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Commodity Strategy are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, Vanguard Commodity showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
...moreVanguard |
Vanguard Commodity Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,522 in Vanguard Commodity Strategy on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 339.00 from holding Vanguard Commodity Strategy or generate 13.44% return on investment over 90 days. Vanguard Commodity Strategy is currently producing 0.2142% returns and takes up 0.8766% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 7% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Vanguard, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Vanguard Commodity Current Valuation
Undervalued
Today
Please note that Vanguard Commodity's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be undervalued. Vanguard Commodity has a current Real Value of $30.67 per share. The regular price of the fund is $28.61. We determine the value of Vanguard Commodity from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Vanguard Commodity is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Vanguard Mutual Fund. However, Vanguard Commodity's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 28.61 | Real 30.67 | Hype 28.61 | Naive 28.97 |
The intrinsic value of Vanguard Commodity's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Vanguard Commodity's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vanguard Commodity Strategy helps investors to forecast how Vanguard mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vanguard Commodity more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vanguard Commodity's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Vanguard Commodity Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Vanguard Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 28.61 | 90 days | 28.61 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Commodity to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vanguard Commodity Strategy probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Commodity has a beta of 0.31. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vanguard Commodity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard Commodity Strategy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard Commodity Strategy has an alpha of 0.1706, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vanguard Commodity Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vanguard Commodity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Commodity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Commodity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vanguard Commodity Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Commodity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Commodity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Commodity Strategy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Commodity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Vanguard Commodity Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Commodity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Commodity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund keeps about 35.85% of its net assets in cash |
Vanguard Commodity Fundamentals Growth
Vanguard Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vanguard Commodity, and Vanguard Commodity fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vanguard Mutual Fund performance.
| Total Asset | 1.5 B | |||
About Vanguard Commodity Performance
Evaluating Vanguard Commodity's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Vanguard Commodity has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vanguard Commodity has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The funds advisor employs an active investment management approach to invest the funds assets in commodity-linked investments, which are backed by a portfolio of inflation-linked investments and other fixed income securities. It invests in instruments that create long and short exposure to commodities, including commodity-linked total return swaps, commodity futures contracts and options on commodity futures contracts, commodity-linked structured notes, exchange-traded commodity pools or funds, and other commodity-linked derivative instruments.Things to note about Vanguard Commodity performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Commodity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Commodity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund keeps about 35.85% of its net assets in cash |
- Analyzing Vanguard Commodity's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vanguard Commodity's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Vanguard Commodity's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Vanguard Commodity's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vanguard Commodity's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vanguard Commodity's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Vanguard Commodity's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund
Vanguard Commodity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Commodity security.
| Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| USA ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA |