Nasdaq 100 Index Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

VCNIX Fund  USD 27.13  0.57  2.15%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.84, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Nasdaq-100 Index's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nasdaq-100 Index is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Nasdaq 100 Index Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Nasdaq-100 Index is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Nasdaq-100 Index Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,770  in Nasdaq 100 Index Fund on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (57.00) from holding Nasdaq 100 Index Fund or give up 2.06% of portfolio value over 90 days. Nasdaq 100 Index Fund is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.019% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 9% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than NASDAQ-100, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nasdaq-100 Index is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.24 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Nasdaq-100 Index Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
27.13
Please note that Nasdaq-100 Index's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Nasdaq 100 Index secures a last-minute Real Value of $27.06 per share. The latest price of the fund is $27.13. We determine the value of Nasdaq 100 Index from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Nasdaq-100 Index is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of NASDAQ-100 Mutual Fund. However, Nasdaq-100 Index's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  27.13 Real  27.06 Hype  26.64 Naive  26.23
The intrinsic value of Nasdaq-100 Index's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Nasdaq-100 Index's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
27.06
Real Value
28.08
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Nasdaq 100 Index Fund helps investors to forecast how NASDAQ-100 mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Nasdaq-100 Index more accurately as focusing exclusively on Nasdaq-100 Index's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.8727.5428.21
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.6226.6427.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
25.2226.2327.25
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Nasdaq 100 Index Fund extending back to September 01, 2006. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Nasdaq-100 Index stands at 27.13, as last reported on the 7th of February, with the highest price reaching 27.13 and the lowest price hitting 27.13 during the day.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Nasdaq-100 Index Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of NASDAQ-100 Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 27.13 90 days 27.13 
about 75.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nasdaq-100 Index to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 75.46 (This Nasdaq 100 Index Fund probability density function shows the probability of NASDAQ-100 Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nasdaq-100 Index has a beta of 0.84. This entails as returns on the market go up, Nasdaq-100 Index average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nasdaq 100 Index Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nasdaq 100 Index Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Nasdaq-100 Index Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nasdaq-100 Index

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nasdaq 100 Index. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.6226.6427.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.0427.0628.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.2226.2327.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.8727.5428.21
Details

Nasdaq-100 Index Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nasdaq-100 Index is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nasdaq-100 Index's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nasdaq 100 Index Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nasdaq-100 Index within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.84
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Nasdaq-100 Index Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nasdaq-100 Index for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nasdaq 100 Index can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nasdaq 100 Index generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: VALIC gatekeepers drop Allspring for Invesco on small-cap fund - Citywire
The fund keeps 95.49% of its net assets in stocks

Nasdaq-100 Index Fundamentals Growth

NASDAQ-100 Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Nasdaq-100 Index, and Nasdaq-100 Index fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on NASDAQ-100 Mutual Fund performance.

About Nasdaq-100 Index Performance

Evaluating Nasdaq-100 Index's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Nasdaq-100 Index has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Nasdaq-100 Index has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The Subadviser invests, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of the funds net assets in companies that are listed in the index. The index represents the largest and most active non-financial domestic and international securities listed on the NASDAQ Stock Market, based on market value . It may concentrate its investments in the technology sector, in the proportion consistent with the industry weightings in the index. The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Nasdaq 100 Index performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nasdaq-100 Index for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Nasdaq 100 Index help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nasdaq 100 Index generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: VALIC gatekeepers drop Allspring for Invesco on small-cap fund - Citywire
The fund keeps 95.49% of its net assets in stocks
Evaluating Nasdaq-100 Index's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Nasdaq-100 Index's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Nasdaq-100 Index's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Nasdaq-100 Index's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Nasdaq-100 Index's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Nasdaq-100 Index's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Nasdaq-100 Index's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Nasdaq-100 Index's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Nasdaq-100 Index's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Nasdaq-100 Index's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Nasdaq-100 Index's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in NASDAQ-100 Mutual Fund

Nasdaq-100 Index financial ratios help investors to determine whether NASDAQ-100 Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NASDAQ-100 with respect to the benefits of owning Nasdaq-100 Index security.
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