Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

VFSUX Fund  USD 10.51  0.01  0.1%   
The entity has a beta of 0.0573, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Short-term's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Short-term is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Short-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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1
Is VFSUX a Strong Bond Fund Right Now - Yahoo Finance
12/10/2025
2
Is VFSUX a strong bond fund right now - MSN
01/13/2026
  

Vanguard Short-term Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,043  in Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  8.00  from holding Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade or generate 0.77% return on investment over 90 days. Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade is currently producing 0.0126% returns and takes up 0.1152% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Vanguard, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Short-term is expected to generate 3.95 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 6.4 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Vanguard Short-term Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
10.51
Please note that Vanguard Short-term's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Vanguard Short Term has a current Real Value of $9.66 per share. The regular price of the fund is $10.51. We determine the value of Vanguard Short Term from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Vanguard Short-term is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Vanguard Mutual Fund. However, Vanguard Short-term's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  10.51 Real  9.66 Hype  10.51 Naive  10.51
The intrinsic value of Vanguard Short-term's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Vanguard Short-term's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.66
Real Value
11.56
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade helps investors to forecast how Vanguard mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vanguard Short-term more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vanguard Short-term's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5010.5210.54
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4010.5110.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.4010.5110.63
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade extending back to February 20, 2001. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Vanguard Short-term stands at 10.51, as last reported on the 26th of January, with the highest price reaching 10.51 and the lowest price hitting 10.51 during the day.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Vanguard Short-term Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vanguard Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.51 90 days 10.51 
about 24.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Short-term to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 24.67 (This Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Short-term has a beta of 0.0573. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vanguard Short-term average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vanguard Short-term Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vanguard Short-term

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Short Term. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Short-term's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4010.5110.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.559.6611.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.4010.5110.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5010.5210.54
Details

Vanguard Short-term Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Short-term is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Short-term's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Short-term within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0023
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.6

Vanguard Short-term Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Short-term for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Short Term can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is VFSUX a strong bond fund right now - MSN
The fund keeps about 93.82% of its net assets in bonds

Vanguard Short-term Fundamentals Growth

Vanguard Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vanguard Short-term, and Vanguard Short-term fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vanguard Mutual Fund performance.

About Vanguard Short-term Performance

Evaluating Vanguard Short-term's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Vanguard Short-term has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vanguard Short-term has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal circumstances, the fund will invest at least 80 percent of its assets in investment-grade securities . The majority of these investments will have a dollar-weighted average maturity of 1 to 4 years. Investment-grade fixed income securities are those rated the equivalent of Baa3 and above by Moodys Ratings or another independent rating agency or, if unrated, are determined to be of comparable quality by the funds advisor. The fund may invest in derivatives instruments, such as options, futures contracts, and other swap agreements.

Things to note about Vanguard Short Term performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Short-term for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Short Term help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is VFSUX a strong bond fund right now - MSN
The fund keeps about 93.82% of its net assets in bonds
Evaluating Vanguard Short-term's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vanguard Short-term's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Vanguard Short-term's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vanguard Short-term's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vanguard Short-term's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vanguard Short-term's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vanguard Short-term's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vanguard Short-term's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Vanguard Short-term's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vanguard Short-term's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vanguard Short-term's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Short-term financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Short-term security.
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