Vanguard Intermediate Term Government Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

VIIGX Fund  USD 25.10  0.02  0.08%   
The entity has a beta of -0.0099, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Vanguard Intermediate-ter are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Vanguard Intermediate-ter is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Intermediate Term Government are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Vanguard Intermediate-ter is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Vanguard Intermediate-ter Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,500  in Vanguard Intermediate Term Government on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  10.00  from holding Vanguard Intermediate Term Government or generate 0.4% return on investment over 90 days. Vanguard Intermediate Term Government is currently producing 0.0067% returns and takes up 0.1585% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than VANGUARD, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Intermediate-ter is expected to generate 14.3 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 5.17 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Vanguard Intermediate-ter Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
25.10
Please note that Vanguard Intermediate-ter's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Vanguard Intermediate-ter has a current Real Value of $24.97 per share. The regular price of the fund is $25.1. We determine the value of Vanguard Intermediate-ter from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Vanguard Intermediate-ter is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of VANGUARD Mutual Fund. However, Vanguard Intermediate-ter's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  25.1 Real  24.97 Hype  25.1 Naive  25.11
The intrinsic value of Vanguard Intermediate-ter's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Vanguard Intermediate-ter's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
24.97
Real Value
25.13
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vanguard Intermediate Term Government helps investors to forecast how VANGUARD mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vanguard Intermediate-ter more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vanguard Intermediate-ter's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.9925.1025.21
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.9425.1025.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
24.9525.1125.27
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Vanguard Intermediate Term Government extending back to November 23, 2009. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Vanguard Intermediate-ter stands at 25.10, as last reported on the 7th of February, with the highest price reaching 25.10 and the lowest price hitting 25.10 during the day.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Vanguard Intermediate-ter Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of VANGUARD Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.10 90 days 25.10 
about 37.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Intermediate-ter to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 37.6 (This Vanguard Intermediate Term Government probability density function shows the probability of VANGUARD Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Intermediate Term Government has a beta of -0.0099. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vanguard Intermediate-ter are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vanguard Intermediate Term Government is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vanguard Intermediate Term Government has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vanguard Intermediate-ter Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vanguard Intermediate-ter

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Intermediate-ter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.9425.1025.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.8124.9725.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.9525.1125.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.9925.1025.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vanguard Intermediate-ter. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vanguard Intermediate-ter's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vanguard Intermediate-ter's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vanguard Intermediate-ter.

Vanguard Intermediate-ter Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Intermediate-ter is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Intermediate-ter's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Intermediate Term Government, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Intermediate-ter within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0018
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0099
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.5

Vanguard Intermediate-ter Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Intermediate-ter for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Intermediate-ter can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated five year return of 0.0%
Vanguard Intermediate-ter keeps most of the net assets in exotic instruments.

Vanguard Intermediate-ter Fundamentals Growth

VANGUARD Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vanguard Intermediate-ter, and Vanguard Intermediate-ter fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on VANGUARD Mutual Fund performance.

About Vanguard Intermediate-ter Performance

Evaluating Vanguard Intermediate-ter's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Vanguard Intermediate-ter has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vanguard Intermediate-ter has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury 3-10 Year Index. This index includes fixed income securities issued by the U.S. Treasury , with maturities between 3 and 10 years. At least 80 percent of the funds assets will be invested in bonds included in the index.

Things to note about Vanguard Intermediate-ter performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Intermediate-ter for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Intermediate-ter help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated five year return of 0.0%
Vanguard Intermediate-ter keeps most of the net assets in exotic instruments.
Evaluating Vanguard Intermediate-ter's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vanguard Intermediate-ter's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Vanguard Intermediate-ter's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vanguard Intermediate-ter's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vanguard Intermediate-ter's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vanguard Intermediate-ter's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vanguard Intermediate-ter's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vanguard Intermediate-ter's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Vanguard Intermediate-ter's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vanguard Intermediate-ter's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vanguard Intermediate-ter's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in VANGUARD Mutual Fund

Vanguard Intermediate-ter financial ratios help investors to determine whether VANGUARD Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VANGUARD with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Intermediate-ter security.
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